NZ - Riccarton - Race 6

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

9.9f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

28.4K

VIEW

Verdict

RIVIERA REBEL (1) has been too strong off the front here in his last couple of starts over 1 ?m, and he has also won 3 of his 5 starts here over this trip. He cops more weight, but is a big fellow, so he can cope, and the hat-trick beckons. COURT OF APPEAL (6) has only battled in 2 runs back from a spell, which we put down to the unsuitable heavy tracks. He is peaking at the right time, and only needs a slightly improved surface to be a big each-way threat in this. SHAKING STEVENS (5) was disappointing as well in the same race as the second pick, when finishing out of the money after racing handy throughout. He is worth another chance. Each way. UNLEASH THE BEAST (9) was back to his best in BM75 grade when making his usual mid-race move and then powering away to score by nearly a length. This is harder, but he drops 12lbs, and should be respected again. CANHEROC (8) is getting ready for another crack at the NZ Cup, but he can still run into the top 4 here. Watch for him late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run won by 1.2 len at this track on September 12 over 1m in the wet defeating Prince Alby with 129lbs at $4.50. The race before that won by 2 len at this track on August 8 over 1m in the wet defeating Quintabelle carrying 122lbs at $2.70. Will prove very tough to beat. 1st Pick 1 Riviera Rebel Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Graham Eade & Brooke Kincaid J: Jack Taplin T: Graham Eade & Brooke Kincaid	98	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run won by 1.2 len at this track on September 12 over 1m in the wet defeating Prince Alby with 129lbs at $4.50. The race before that won by 2 len at this track on August 8 over 1m in the wet defeating Quintabelle carrying 122lbs at $2.70. Will prove very tough to beat.
6	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 10 at this track on August 29 over 1m, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Shawshank carrying 119lbs at $11.40. Last start 8th of 11 at this track on September 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Riviera Rebel carrying 117lbs at $7.70. Likely improver who can do much better here. 2nd Pick 6 Court Of Appeal Jockey: Kyle Wilson-Taylor Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	129	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 10 at this track on August 29 over 1m, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Shawshank carrying 119lbs at $11.40. Last start 8th of 11 at this track on September 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Riviera Rebel carrying 117lbs at $7.70. Likely improver who can do much better here.
5	At the latest run sat on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 11 at this track on September 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Riviera Rebel carrying 125lbs at $7.50. Before that 2nd of 10 at this track on August 29 over 1m, on rain affected going, 0.9 len behind Shawshank with 122lbs at $6.50. Certainly worth another chance. 3rd Pick 5 Shaking Stevens Jockey: Tom Wigram Trainer: Stephanie Faulkner J: Tom Wigram T: Stephanie Faulkner	71	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run sat on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 11 at this track on September 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Riviera Rebel carrying 125lbs at $7.50. Before that 2nd of 10 at this track on August 29 over 1m, on rain affected going, 0.9 len behind Shawshank with 122lbs at $6.50. Certainly worth another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.