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50 Min Till Start

NZ - Riccarton - Race 6

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
27.8f
Unknown
Turf
HEAVY 9
88.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LORD SPENCER (3) has been so much more consistent this year, and he has always been a dashing jumper, so he now has the stamina to compliment that ability over the steeples. He was too good on the first day, and has to be hard to beat again. BRUCIE (5) warmed up late here behind the top pick a week ago, and he will like the extra 6 ¾f of this assignment. His jumping is a lot more consistent now, and he will be hard to hold out again. NEDWIN (2) has been a fantastic performer for such a long time, and he has been placed in this race in the past. He has to carry 154lbs, but won't let you down. PRINCE TURBO (4) will relish really heavy ground, and he doesn't know when to stop. he can ground out another top 3 placing in this. INVISIBLE SPIRIT (7) is another very safe jumper, who battled on gamely for third here last week, and a similar effort will see him in the top 4 again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Lord Spencer silk

On a three run winning streak. Last outing favourite, won by 2 len this track on August 1 over 2m in the wet defeating Prince Turbo carrying 143lbs at $2.10 in a jumps. Start before to post a big 7 len win. Woodville on July 12 over 2 ¹5/16m on heavy track defeating Prince Turbo with 143lbs at $3 in a jumps. Promising galloper. Is in terrific form and he can win again.

1st Pick
3

Lord Spencer

Jockey: Lemmy Douglas

Trainer: J J Rayner

J: Lemmy Douglas

T: J J Rayner

108---45%5/4

Analysis

On a three run winning streak. Last outing favourite, won by 2 len this track on August 1 over 2m in the wet defeating Prince Turbo carrying 143lbs at $2.10 in a jumps. Start before to post a big 7 len win. Woodville on July 12 over 2 ¹5/16m on heavy track defeating Prince Turbo with 143lbs at $3 in a jumps. Promising galloper. Is in terrific form and he can win again.

5
Brucie silk

Racing well. Last run finished fourth of 8 starters at this track on August 1 over 2m, in the wet, 7 len behind Lord Spencer with 143lbs at $5.70. Start before won by 1.3 len Trentham on July 2 over 3 m on heavy track defeating Never Look Back carrying 143lbs at $9.10 in a jumps. All set to bounce back to winning form.

2nd Pick
5

Brucie

Jockey: Billy Marshall

Trainer: Raymond Connors

J: Billy Marshall

T: Raymond Connors

72---17%5/1

Analysis

Racing well. Last run finished fourth of 8 starters at this track on August 1 over 2m, in the wet, 7 len behind Lord Spencer with 143lbs at $5.70. Start before won by 1.3 len Trentham on July 2 over 3 m on heavy track defeating Never Look Back carrying 143lbs at $9.10 in a jumps. All set to bounce back to winning form.

2
Nedwin silk

Last start finished fifth of 8 runners at this track on August 1 over 2m, on a wet track, 10 len behind Lord Spencer with 152lbs at $4.60. Run before finished third of 8 starters at Trentham on July 2 over 3 m, on heavy track, 5 len behind Brucie carrying 152lbs at $4.60. Likely to figure in the top 3 on his best form.

3rd Pick
2

Nedwin

Jockey: M Gillies

Trainer: P Nelson & C Mcdougal

J: M Gillies

T: P Nelson & C Mcdougal

105---14%13/2

Analysis

Last start finished fifth of 8 runners at this track on August 1 over 2m, on a wet track, 10 len behind Lord Spencer with 152lbs at $4.60. Run before finished third of 8 starters at Trentham on July 2 over 3 m, on heavy track, 5 len behind Brucie carrying 152lbs at $4.60. Likely to figure in the top 3 on his best form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.