NZ - Riccarton - Race 5

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

9.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

22.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ROLLINS (4) went for home early in the final straight here on the poly track 16 days ago over 1 ?m, and was only bloused on the line when looking all over the winner. He is at his peak now, and doesn't have to improve by much to go one better in this. On top. MINESHAFT (3) will continue to improve as the tracks get firmer, and he was a solid fourth in a tougher field than this here a fortnight ago. He benefits from a kilo claim, and should go close to taking this out. PRIVATE TREATY (6) took a while to win her maiden, and but did not take long to add another when scoring by a head here on the poly track just over 2 weeks ago. An extra 2f won't trouble her, and she can repeat the dose. PERSONA (5) has been mixing her form, and was not far away when finishing out of the money last time out on e heavy track here. Stick with her. FULL OF GUSTO (9) is always thereabouts whether in maiden grade or in open-class, so he is a must for all top 4 combos to be safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Racing well recently. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on September 10 over 1m, 0.0 len behind La Evita carrying 132lbs at $5.80. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on August 26 over 1m, 2.5 len behind La Voisin with 132lbs at $5.70. Sure to be in the thick of things again. 1st Pick 4 Rollins Jockey: Yogesh Atchamah Trainer: Lance Robinson J: Yogesh Atchamah T: Lance Robinson	101	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on September 10 over 1m, 0.0 len behind La Evita carrying 132lbs at $5.80. The race before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on August 26 over 1m, 2.5 len behind La Voisin with 132lbs at $5.70. Sure to be in the thick of things again.
3	Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at this track on September 12 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 2.25 len behind Unleash The Beast carrying 119lbs at $14.30. The run before that 7th of 9 at Te Rapa on August 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Zenith carrying 119lbs at $14.30. Finds a suitable contest this time so he can bounce back. 2nd Pick 3 Mineshaft Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Pam Gerard J: Hayley Hassman T: Pam Gerard	106	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at this track on September 12 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 2.25 len behind Unleash The Beast carrying 119lbs at $14.30. The run before that 7th of 9 at Te Rapa on August 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Zenith carrying 119lbs at $14.30. Finds a suitable contest this time so he can bounce back.
6	Form hard to fault. Last start raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a 0.3 len at Riccarton Park Synthetic on September 10 over 1m defeating Gadabout with 121lbs at $15.40. The run before that 4th of 11 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on August 26 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Roca Mile with 125lbs at $9. Finds a suitable race and looks one of the key runners. 3rd Pick 6 Private Treaty Jockey: Sima Mxothwa Trainer: Richard Didham J: Sima Mxothwa T: Richard Didham	105	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a 0.3 len at Riccarton Park Synthetic on September 10 over 1m defeating Gadabout with 121lbs at $15.40. The run before that 4th of 11 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on August 26 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Roca Mile with 125lbs at $9. Finds a suitable race and looks one of the key runners.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.