NZ - Riccarton - Race 10

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

20.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

GUZZLER (5) bolted in when winning his maiden at Waverly in his penultimate start, and then carried that form through for another win here on the first day. He has been patiently handled for a 7YO gelding, and he can take the next step here. The hat-trick beckons. HOORAY FOR HARRY (3) races well here, and will be coming in to this race on the fresh side, which would be a query if he were not trained by the leading Walker/Bergerson stable. A wet track is no problem, and he can figure in the top 3 here. VIVACIOUS (1) will give the Walker/Bergerson stable a strong hand in this field, and with the aid of a 4lbs claim, she is well worth including in all top 4 combos. MAGNASTAR (6) broke a win drought when winning as expected at Oamaru nearly 3 weeks ago. This field has more depth to it, but he loves it heavy, and he won't be far away. CYPRESS (4) is fresh to the meeting, but he will be peaking third up from a spell. The Myers stable will have ready to win, so don't risk him, we aren't.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by 0.8 len at this track August 1 over 6f in heavy going defeating Mercy carrying 130lbs at $3.70. Before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, scored a big 4 len win at Waverley July 4 over 7f on a soft track defeating Lacey Luck with 129lbs at $5.10. Can complete the hat-trick. 1st Pick 5 Guzzler Jockey: Sarah Macnab Trainer: Jo Rathbone J: Sarah Macnab T: Jo Rathbone	101	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by 0.8 len at this track August 1 over 6f in heavy going defeating Mercy carrying 130lbs at $3.70. Before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, scored a big 4 len win at Waverley July 4 over 7f on a soft track defeating Lacey Luck with 129lbs at $5.10. Can complete the hat-trick.
3	Comes off a 37 day let-up. At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Ashburton on July 2 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.9 len behind Candle with 125lbs at $3.60. Before that 6th of 12 at this track on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Undisputed carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Went close last time. Looks one of the top 4 players. 2nd Pick 3 Hooray For Harry Jockey: Triston Moodley Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Triston Moodley T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	150	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Comes off a 37 day let-up. At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Ashburton on July 2 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.9 len behind Candle with 125lbs at $3.60. Before that 6th of 12 at this track on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Undisputed carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Went close last time. Looks one of the top 4 players.
1	Returns from a 31-day let-up. Last start 5th of 12 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on July 8 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Great Adventure carrying 128lbs at $15.10. The race before that 4th in a small field at Riccarton Park Synthetic on June 25 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Boss 'N' Highheels carrying 119lbs at $4.50. Ready to run a big race. 3rd Pick 1 Vivacious Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Floor Moerman T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	115	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Returns from a 31-day let-up. Last start 5th of 12 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on July 8 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Great Adventure carrying 128lbs at $15.10. The race before that 4th in a small field at Riccarton Park Synthetic on June 25 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Boss 'N' Highheels carrying 119lbs at $4.50. Ready to run a big race.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.