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5:34 AM

NZ - Riccarton - Race 10

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
8f
Unknown
Turf
HEAVY 9
36.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DIAVOLETTO (11) went back from a wide gate and kept up a big run from the 4f to score over 1 m at Waverley last start. Drawn wide again but suspect the big track suits here. BELLISH BOY (1) sat behind the leaders from the pole draw and bolted clear for a big win over 7f at Ashburton last start. Drawn handy enough again and must be respected. BURNSIDE LASS (10) produced a good finish from midfield, coming wide on the turn to score over 7f here October 24. A shade disappointing on Saturday when only battling the last bit. Don't drop yet. WAR PAINT (2) loomed up from midfield and extended really well to score his maiden win over 1m at Ashburton last month. Drawn to be right in this. PURE CHAMPAGNE (4) honest efforts over 6f in first two starts then relished the heavy track, looping them from the rear for an easy win over 7f last time. Tougher here but consider.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Diavoletto silk

Third-up today. First-up 8th of 14 at Woodville on October 7 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Will with 125lbs at $14.80. Second-up won by a 0.0 len at Waverley on October 18 over 1 m on a rain affected track defeating One Bold Floozie carrying 127lbs at $9.80. Shapes as a leading chance again.

1st Pick
11

Diavoletto

Jockey: Lily Sutherland

Trainer: A Bull

J: Lily Sutherland

T: A Bull

106---15%6/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 8th of 14 at Woodville on October 7 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Will with 125lbs at $14.80. Second-up won by a 0.0 len at Waverley on October 18 over 1 m on a rain affected track defeating One Bold Floozie carrying 127lbs at $9.80. Shapes as a leading chance again.

1
Bellish Boy silk

Returns from a 32-day let-up. Last start favourite, won by 4.5 len at Ashburton on October 10 over 7f in soft going defeating Shesascorcher with 127lbs at $2.80. Before that failed to make an impression, 9th of 15 at this track on September 26 over 7f, slow going 7 len behind Sheza Professional carrying 129lbs at $3.30. Can make it back-to-back wins.

2nd Pick
1

Bellish Boy

Jockey: Michael Mcnab

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Michael Mcnab

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

157---27%11/4

Analysis

Returns from a 32-day let-up. Last start favourite, won by 4.5 len at Ashburton on October 10 over 7f in soft going defeating Shesascorcher with 127lbs at $2.80. Before that failed to make an impression, 9th of 15 at this track on September 26 over 7f, slow going 7 len behind Sheza Professional carrying 129lbs at $3.30. Can make it back-to-back wins.

10
Burnside Lass silk

At the latest run 5th of 18 at this track on November 7 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Makarov carrying 121lbs at $6.10. The race before that won by 0.7 len at this track on October 24 over 7f defeating Knight Guru with 120lbs at $10.90. Can improve on the latest effort and is well-placed to take this out.

3rd Pick
10

Burnside Lass

Jockey: Floor Moerman

Trainer: Kevin Myers

J: Floor Moerman

T: Kevin Myers

129---16%11/2

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 18 at this track on November 7 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Makarov carrying 121lbs at $6.10. The race before that won by 0.7 len at this track on October 24 over 7f defeating Knight Guru with 120lbs at $10.90. Can improve on the latest effort and is well-placed to take this out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.