NZ - Pukekohe - Race 3

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

14.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

MARZENIE (3) has been knocking on the door this prep with 3 second-place finishes from as many starts, and she will drop 3lbs in weight for this suitable assignment. Craig Grylls sticks with her, and despite copping a wide gate, so do we. MOONBEAMS (4) has been steadily improving with racing, and she won't lack fitness. She has drawn wide here, but does handle a wet track, and her first win is not far away. VANITYGIRL (5) bounced back from a poor run here in her penultimate start with a solid effort for third at Matamata 3 weeks ago. She has a far tougher gate this time, but she can still figure in the top 4 again. OCEAN RULES (6) warmed up too late when finishing fourth over 5 ¼f at Matamata when resuming from a spell 3 weeks ago. There is more in her favour over 7f here, and she is well worth including in all top 4 combos. CENTURIAL (13) will be peaking third up, and from a good draw with Opie Bosson in the saddle, he will be right in the finish here. Each way.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Form hard to fault. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Rumours with 126lbs at $2.70. The start before that 2nd of 12 at this track on February 25 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind Le Jacques Cartier with 122lbs at $6.70. Progressing well. Great chance to break through. 1st Pick 3 Marzenie Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall J: Non Runner T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall	165	-	-	-	19%	Scratched
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Rumours with 126lbs at $2.70. The start before that 2nd of 12 at this track on February 25 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind Le Jacques Cartier with 122lbs at $6.70. Progressing well. Great chance to break through.
4	Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Rocky Marciano with 123lbs at $3.60. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Matamata on February 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Victor Tango with 123lbs at $10.30. Should prove hard to beat. 2nd Pick 4 Moonbeams Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Non Runner T: Andrew Forsman	108	-	-	-	16%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Rocky Marciano with 123lbs at $3.60. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Matamata on February 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Victor Tango with 123lbs at $10.30. Should prove hard to beat.
5	Most recently raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Rumours with 126lbs at $13.90. The run before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at this track on February 25 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind La Diem with 126lbs at $14.50. Nice effort last time. Hard to beat on that latest effort. 3rd Pick 5 Vanitygirl Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Chris Wood J: Non Runner T: Chris Wood	97	-	-	-	14%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Rumours with 126lbs at $13.90. The run before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at this track on February 25 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind La Diem with 126lbs at $14.50. Nice effort last time. Hard to beat on that latest effort.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.