NZ - Pukekohe - Race 1

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

14.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

CENTURIAL (4) has not been far away in both of his starts to date, and the extra 1f here will suit him. He has the pole position, and is the one to beat for us, especially with Craig Grylls keeping the faith. LUCKY DICE (5) has yet to race up to his trial form, and he was looking for more ground when finishing midfield fresh up here nearly 3 weeks ago. Stick with him. SUPREMELY (12) needed her fresh up run at Matamata 3 weeks ago over 5 ¼f. Expect her to be more competitive over an extra 1 ¾f here. Include in all top 4 combos. STARCLAN (1) has trialled since finishing fourth fresh at Te Rapa nearly 8 weeks ago. He is capable of figuring in the finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Dual acceptor. Having third race start. At debut, from last on the turn 5th of 10 at Taupo on February 22 over 5 ½f, 1.4 len behind Party Time carrying 123lbs at $15.90. Second-up 5th of 13 at this track on March 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Smooth Warrior with 128lbs at $8.90. Overdue and is among the leading hopes. 1st Pick 4 Centurial Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Craig Grylls T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	97	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Having third race start. At debut, from last on the turn 5th of 10 at Taupo on February 22 over 5 ½f, 1.4 len behind Party Time carrying 123lbs at $15.90. Second-up 5th of 13 at this track on March 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Smooth Warrior with 128lbs at $8.90. Overdue and is among the leading hopes.
5	Dual acceptor. Third race start. First start didn't finish the race at Matamata October 17 over 6f. Returned from break 7th of 13 at this track on March 13 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Smooth Warrior with 128lbs at $2.10. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 2nd Pick 5 Lucky Dice Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Kelly Van Dyk J: George Rooke T: Kelly Van Dyk	75	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third race start. First start didn't finish the race at Matamata October 17 over 6f. Returned from break 7th of 13 at this track on March 13 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Smooth Warrior with 128lbs at $2.10. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.
10	Most recently 7th of 11 at this track on March 13 over 6f, slow going 8 len behind Thumbelina with 120lbs at $14.50. The run before that led to the turn then faded 7th of 9 at Taupo on February 22 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Ruby Rush with 125lbs at $5.60. Capable of sharp improvement. 3rd Pick 10 Pinky Pie Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Non Runner T: Stephen Marsh	117	-	-	-	13%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently 7th of 11 at this track on March 13 over 6f, slow going 8 len behind Thumbelina with 120lbs at $14.50. The run before that led to the turn then faded 7th of 9 at Taupo on February 22 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Ruby Rush with 125lbs at $5.60. Capable of sharp improvement.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.