AR - Hipodromo Palermo - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

5.9K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

CULPABLE IM (6) was returning from a break last time out and proved too classy, scoring by 1.5 lengths over 5f at this track. Has a solid second-up record and is a great chance to get the prize again. METAL FORGE (9) resumed last time out and finished third over 5 ½f at La Plata, beaten 3 lengths. Sure to prove tough to stop. EN SUSPIRO (10) did well to score at La Plata two runs ago. Decent effort last time out when third over 6f at La Plata, beaten 2 lengths. Needs to be at his best to beat this field but he cannot be underestimated. FRAUEN (12) finished second last start at the first run back from a spell over 6f at La Plata, beaten 1.5 lengths. It doesn't get any easier but on his best form he is capable of a big performance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Second-up. First-up after three months won by 1.5 len at this track May 7 over 5f in the wet defeating Aliyar with 119lbs at $11.15. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at this track on October 11 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Replik with 127lbs at $54.55. Strong winning chance. 1st Pick 6 Culpable Im Jockey: Maximiliano Machado Trainer: Gustavo Javier Barragan J: Maximiliano Machado T: Gustavo Javier Barragan	122	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months won by 1.5 len at this track May 7 over 5f in the wet defeating Aliyar with 119lbs at $11.15. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at this track on October 11 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Replik with 127lbs at $54.55. Strong winning chance.
9	Second-up. First-up after two months 3rd of 10 at La Plata on April 16 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Eynard with 126lbs at $9.45. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at this track on February 8 over 5f, 8 len behind Los Husares with 126lbs at $13.50. Improver with winning prospects. 2nd Pick 9 Metal Forge Jockey: Rodrigo Daniel Bascu An Trainer: Diego Javier Fumero J: Rodrigo Daniel Bascu An T: Diego Javier Fumero	130	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months 3rd of 10 at La Plata on April 16 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Eynard with 126lbs at $9.45. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at this track on February 8 over 5f, 8 len behind Los Husares with 126lbs at $13.50. Improver with winning prospects.
10	Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 13 at La Plata on May 3 over 6f, 2 len behind Siglo Veinte with 117lbs at $72. The start before that won by 0.5 len at La Plata April 7 over 7f in the wet defeating Lamento Key carrying 117lbs at $6.05. Expected to go well. 3rd Pick 10 En Suspiro Jockey: Walter Lautaro Garcia Trainer: Juan A Mossi J: Walter Lautaro Garcia T: Juan A Mossi	120	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 13 at La Plata on May 3 over 6f, 2 len behind Siglo Veinte with 117lbs at $72. The start before that won by 0.5 len at La Plata April 7 over 7f in the wet defeating Lamento Key carrying 117lbs at $6.05. Expected to go well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.