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2:47 AM

NZH - Westport - Race 9

Harness
10 Runners
15.9f
Unknown
Turf
14.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HACKSAW RIDGE (9) was far from disgraced when fifth last start in a decent line-up at Central Southland. Put together a string of top-three finishes prior including an Oamaru win so the form reads well. Top chance. SEMBA (7) had been racing consistently before landing a well-deserved win last start at Geraldine. Can continue the strong form. BRYCE'S MEDDLE (8) can mix the form but would measure right up here if he reproduced his effort for second at Addington last month. SMOKE ON THE WATER (10) enjoys a nice class drop on recent attempts so looking for a spike in form this time.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Hacksaw Ridge silk

Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Seaside Rose at Central Southland Raceway over 1 ½m on December 14 at $6.10. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 2nd (Fr2) over 1m at Wingatui beaten 1.4 m by Rock Or Bust (2:43.50) on December 7 at $2.90. Should be right in the finish.

1st Pick
9

Hacksaw Ridge

Jockey: Robbie Holmes

Trainer: Ricky Gutsell

J: Robbie Holmes

T: Ricky Gutsell

77---37%7/4

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Seaside Rose at Central Southland Raceway over 1 ½m on December 14 at $6.10. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 2nd (Fr2) over 1m at Wingatui beaten 1.4 m by Rock Or Bust (2:43.50) on December 7 at $2.90. Should be right in the finish.

7
Semba silk

In good form recently. Last start won by 5 m (Fr2) at Geraldine (3:16.10) beating Misty Blue in on December 6 at $4.40. Well placed again and will be hard to hold out.

2nd Pick
7

Semba

Jockey: Tim Williams

Trainer: Steve & Amanda Telfer

J: Tim Williams

T: Steve & Amanda Telfer

75---25%3/1

Analysis

In good form recently. Last start won by 5 m (Fr2) at Geraldine (3:16.10) beating Misty Blue in on December 6 at $4.40. Well placed again and will be hard to hold out.

8
Bryce's Meddle silk

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 10th (Fr7) over 1m at Rangiora, beaten 25 m by It's Tough (3:21.10) on December 14 at $11.50. The start before 5th ( 2) over 1m at Addington, beaten 22 m by Teds Legacy (3:16.60) in 3yo+ on November 28 at $10.50. Can turn things around in this suitable contest.

3rd Pick
8

Bryce's Meddle

Jockey: John Dunn

Trainer: Robert & Jenna Dunn

J: John Dunn

T: Robert & Jenna Dunn

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 10th (Fr7) over 1m at Rangiora, beaten 25 m by It's Tough (3:21.10) on December 14 at $11.50. The start before 5th ( 2) over 1m at Addington, beaten 22 m by Teds Legacy (3:16.60) in 3yo+ on November 28 at $10.50. Can turn things around in this suitable contest.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.