GB - Newbury - Race 6

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

12f

Handicap

Turf

Good to Soft

19.0K

VIEW

Verdict

HARD TO BELIEVE went off a short price for his handicap debut at York and though he couldn't justify those odds, he's worth another chance on the strength of his Wolverhampton novice win. Irish raider Honouramongthieves and Mythical Bay are next on the shortlist in a race where it's hard to completely rule any of them out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Much improved when winning at Bath on his latter juvenile outing and progressed further when winning 5-runner novice at Wolverhampton in March. Below expectations in mid-field on handicap debut at York 4 weeks ago, but previous form has worked out well and he's worth another chance. 1st Pick 2 Hard To Believe (Ire) Jockey: Hector Crouch Trainer: Andrew Balding J: Hector Crouch T: Andrew Balding	99	-	-	-	16%	Scratched
Analysis Much improved when winning at Bath on his latter juvenile outing and progressed further when winning 5-runner novice at Wolverhampton in March. Below expectations in mid-field on handicap debut at York 4 weeks ago, but previous form has worked out well and he's worth another chance.
4	Raced only twice in handicaps so far and hinted that he had more to offer when a creditable sixth of 11 in handicap (4/1) at Killarney (11f, good) 30 days ago, finishing with running left after lacking a clear run. Could do better again with cheekpieces on 1st time. 2nd Pick 4 Honouramongthieves Jockey: Kieran Shoemark Trainer: Kevin Thomas Coleman, Ireland J: Kieran Shoemark T: Kevin Thomas Coleman, Ireland	97	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Raced only twice in handicaps so far and hinted that he had more to offer when a creditable sixth of 11 in handicap (4/1) at Killarney (11f, good) 30 days ago, finishing with running left after lacking a clear run. Could do better again with cheekpieces on 1st time.
1	Off the mark in 5-runner Wolverhampton novice (9.5f) in January. Made a pleasing start in handicaps after 4 months off when runner-up at Chester last month and ran to similar level upped to this mark when third of 4 at Wolverhampton 2 weeks ago. Considered. 3rd Pick 1 Mythical Bay (Ire) Jockey: Oisin Murphy Trainer: Andrew Balding J: Oisin Murphy T: Andrew Balding	98	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Off the mark in 5-runner Wolverhampton novice (9.5f) in January. Made a pleasing start in handicaps after 4 months off when runner-up at Chester last month and ran to similar level upped to this mark when third of 4 at Wolverhampton 2 weeks ago. Considered.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.