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2:45 PM

GB - Newbury - Race 5

Thoroughbred
26 Runners
8f
Maiden
Turf
Good (Good to Firm in places)
27.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

This maiden has thrown up some smart winners and 2000 Guineas entrant KING OF EARTH is fancied to build on previous promise and give William Haggas another success. Lighting Thunder also has better days ahead of him and rates a big threat though, while several others bring plenty of potential, including Spirit of Saxony, Exclusive Code and Blue Aria.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
King Of Earth silk

Kingman half-brother to several winners, including high-class miler winner King of Change. Lots to like on both his runs when second in novices over C&D and at Doncaster on his recent return. Looks a good prospect (holds entry in 2000 Guineas) for his top yard who have a good record in this.

1st Pick
10

King Of Earth

Jockey: Tom Marquand

Trainer: William Haggas

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

95---13%7/1

Analysis

Kingman half-brother to several winners, including high-class miler winner King of Change. Lots to like on both his runs when second in novices over C&D and at Doncaster on his recent return. Looks a good prospect (holds entry in 2000 Guineas) for his top yard who have a good record in this.

11
Lighting Thunder silk

Night of Thunder colt who came in a promising second of 9 in maiden at Yarmouth (1m, good) on debut 7 months ago. That form has worked out well and he holds good claims with better to come.

2nd Pick
11

Lighting Thunder

Jockey: William Buick

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

J: William Buick

T: John & Thady Gosden

100---15%6/1

Analysis

Night of Thunder colt who came in a promising second of 9 in maiden at Yarmouth (1m, good) on debut 7 months ago. That form has worked out well and he holds good claims with better to come.

16
Spirit Of Saxony (Ire) silk

Plenty of promise when placed in novices over 6f/7f at Salisbury and Kempton 9 months apart (gelded in between). This son of Saxon Warrior holds solid form claims.

3rd Pick
16

Spirit Of Saxony (Ire)

Jockey: Charles Bishop

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton

J: Charles Bishop

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

91---12%8/1

Analysis

Plenty of promise when placed in novices over 6f/7f at Salisbury and Kempton 9 months apart (gelded in between). This son of Saxon Warrior holds solid form claims.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.