GB - Newbury - Race 1

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

16.3f

Handicap Hurdle

Turf

Good to Soft

23.5K

VIEW

Verdict

SPIRITS BAY often goes well fresh and looks a potential class angle in a wide-open renewal. He narrowly shades the vote over race-fit and unexposed Zarakerjack, while Faivoir would be interesting if supported from a slipping mark.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Justified support in a lower grade on reappearance this time last year. Mixed bag over fences/hurdles thereafter, looking back in form when 15½-length sixth (caught further back than ideal) in the Imperial Cup in March. Interesting back in a 0-125, especially given his record fresh. 1st Pick 2 Spirits Bay Jockey: Toby Mccain-Mitchell Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies J: Toby Mccain-Mitchell T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies	99	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Justified support in a lower grade on reappearance this time last year. Mixed bag over fences/hurdles thereafter, looking back in form when 15½-length sixth (caught further back than ideal) in the Imperial Cup in March. Interesting back in a 0-125, especially given his record fresh.
15	Did plenty wrong when placing in a couple of juvenile hurdles at Kempton last winter. Positive signs on the Flat since being gelded, doubling his tally with a fairly useful success at Epsom in late-September. Opening mark looks potentially lenient if he can jump/settle better back hurdling. 2nd Pick 15 Zarakerjack (Fr) Jockey: Freddie Mitchell Trainer: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore J: Freddie Mitchell T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore	100	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Did plenty wrong when placing in a couple of juvenile hurdles at Kempton last winter. Positive signs on the Flat since being gelded, doubling his tally with a fairly useful success at Epsom in late-September. Opening mark looks potentially lenient if he can jump/settle better back hurdling.
1	Course-winning veteran. Latest success in 2023 County. Best effort last season when 13-length third in the Greatwood (also distant third in William Hill Hurdle here). Mark eased again since his comeback run, and he's worth noting for each-way support with conditional able to claim full allowance. 3rd Pick 1 Faivoir (Fr) Jockey: Dominic Lewis Trainer: Dan Skelton J: Dominic Lewis T: Dan Skelton	96	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Course-winning veteran. Latest success in 2023 County. Best effort last season when 13-length third in the Greatwood (also distant third in William Hill Hurdle here). Mark eased again since his comeback run, and he's worth noting for each-way support with conditional able to claim full allowance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.