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5:35 PM

GB - Newmarket - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7f
Handicap
Turf
Good (Good to Firm in places)
20.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

It's interesting that connections have persisted with AL KARRAR, who could be worth another chance on just his second start in a turf handicap. He's narrowly preferred to Best Rate, who should make a bold bid in a competitive event, while Great Mates looks interesting on first start for a new yard.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Al Karrar (Ire) silk

One-time useful juvenile who ran to a fairly useful level on first start for over 3 years at Yarmouth last September. Below form/likely in need of the run both all-weather starts since, though encouraging that he's turned out fairly quickly and could be worth chancing back on turf.

1st Pick
1

Al Karrar (Ire)

Jockey: Dougie Costello

Trainer: Tom Clover

J: Dougie Costello

T: Tom Clover

95---17%5/1

Analysis

One-time useful juvenile who ran to a fairly useful level on first start for over 3 years at Yarmouth last September. Below form/likely in need of the run both all-weather starts since, though encouraging that he's turned out fairly quickly and could be worth chancing back on turf.

2
Best Rate silk

Consistent sort who hasn't won since December 2024 but ran close to his best when third in a big-field handicap at Newbury last time, doing good work late on after conceding first run to the winner, and he's expected to go close back down in grade.

2nd Pick
2

Best Rate

Jockey: Alec Voikhansky

Trainer: Richard Hannon

J: Alec Voikhansky

T: Richard Hannon

100---23%7/2

Analysis

Consistent sort who hasn't won since December 2024 but ran close to his best when third in a big-field handicap at Newbury last time, doing good work late on after conceding first run to the winner, and he's expected to go close back down in grade.

8
Great Mates silk

Fairly useful Wolverhampton novice winner who was undone by her head-strong ways at Kempton (1m) on final outing for Michael Wigham in February. First-time hood/return to 7f should benefit, though, and Marco Botti has an excellent recent record with new recruits.

3rd Pick
8

Great Mates

Jockey: Daniel Tudhope

Trainer: Marco Botti

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Marco Botti

95---13%7/1

Analysis

Fairly useful Wolverhampton novice winner who was undone by her head-strong ways at Kempton (1m) on final outing for Michael Wigham in February. First-time hood/return to 7f should benefit, though, and Marco Botti has an excellent recent record with new recruits.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.