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12:45 noon

GB - Newmarket - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
10f
Maiden
Turf
Good (Good to Firm in places)
55.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

EARTH SHOT has the potential for considerable improvement on the back of her eye-catching debut second and should prove hard to beat for William Haggas. The main threat may come from newcomer Velvet Vega, particularly if the betting vibes are strong given the yard has been mopping up in similar races in recent weeks. Malika is a likely improver for last year's winning owner/trainer.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Earth Shot (Ire) silk

Highly promising debut when 2 lengths second of 9 in novice at Newbury (1m, heavy) on debut, finishing full of running behind a stable-companion. This longer trip is sure to suit. Likely hard to beat.

1st Pick
3

Earth Shot (Ire)

Jockey: Tom Marquand

Trainer: William Haggas

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

100---53%10/11

Analysis

Highly promising debut when 2 lengths second of 9 in novice at Newbury (1m, heavy) on debut, finishing full of running behind a stable-companion. This longer trip is sure to suit. Likely hard to beat.

6
Velvet Vega (Ire) silk

€240,000 Lope de Vega filly. Dam, useful French 1m-9.4f winner, half-sister to useful 7f-9.5f winner Lucie Manette. A very interesting debutante for a leading stable in very good form.

2nd Pick
6

Velvet Vega (Ire)

Jockey: Benoit De La Sayette

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: John & Thady Gosden

85---23%7/2

Analysis

€240,000 Lope de Vega filly. Dam, useful French 1m-9.4f winner, half-sister to useful 7f-9.5f winner Lucie Manette. A very interesting debutante for a leading stable in very good form.

4
Malika silk

20/1 when well-held fourth of 13 in maiden at Kempton (1m) on debut in November. Didn't achieve much on that occasion but she's open to improvement for last year's winning owner/trainer.

3rd Pick
4

Malika

Jockey: Oisin Murphy

Trainer: Andrew Balding

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

79---10%9/1

Analysis

20/1 when well-held fourth of 13 in maiden at Kempton (1m) on debut in November. Didn't achieve much on that occasion but she's open to improvement for last year's winning owner/trainer.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.