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39 Min Till Start

JP - Nagoya - Race 6

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7.5f
Unknown
Dirt
6.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MEISHO YORIKIRI (7) brings the clearest recent form, having finished second at Nagoya over this trip two weeks ago when beaten three lengths by Nishiki Vivravivre after being run down late. His prior sixth was still sound enough, beaten just over five lengths by Meisho Miss Ichi, and his track-and-distance record with Junki Mochizuki keeps him the runner to beat despite the distance query. MASSANO (5) is the main danger on profile rather than last-start margin, with a fourth behind Treasure Beat two back reading better than her latest sixth, and the class drop gives her a proper chance to rebound. YUINO CHOSHINKI (4) has been around the mark with a third then fourth at Nagoya, though the maiden record remains the knock. SHIROI YATSU (9) was plain last time, but his previous fifth showed enough late response to keep him in the placing mix if he improves sharply.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Meisho Yorikiri silk

Improved sharply when second to Nishiki Vivravivre at Nagoya last start, beaten three lengths after being run down late while near the top of betting. Two back he was only sixth behind Meisho Miss Ichi, but he closed off soundly from a difficult position. One win and one place from six at this track and distance, plus a strong record with Junki Mochizuki, make him the clear reference point.

1st Pick
7

Meisho Yorikiri

Jockey: Junki Mochizuki

Trainer: Kazuo Fujigasaki

J: Junki Mochizuki

T: Kazuo Fujigasaki

171---72%2/5

Analysis

Improved sharply when second to Nishiki Vivravivre at Nagoya last start, beaten three lengths after being run down late while near the top of betting. Two back he was only sixth behind Meisho Miss Ichi, but he closed off soundly from a difficult position. One win and one place from six at this track and distance, plus a strong record with Junki Mochizuki, make him the clear reference point.

5
Massano silk

Comes through a sixth to Stay Lucky at Nagoya, beaten over 10 lengths after settling rearward at big odds, so the latest result needs forgiving only in a limited sense. Her fourth to Treasure Beat two back was stronger, beaten just over five lengths after again settling back. She remains winless from 48 starts, but the class drop and recent profile give her a solid chance to improve.

2nd Pick
5

Massano

Jockey: Shinichi Maruyama

Trainer: Isao Nishikimi

J: Shinichi Maruyama

T: Isao Nishikimi

127---7%14/1

Analysis

Comes through a sixth to Stay Lucky at Nagoya, beaten over 10 lengths after settling rearward at big odds, so the latest result needs forgiving only in a limited sense. Her fourth to Treasure Beat two back was stronger, beaten just over five lengths after again settling back. She remains winless from 48 starts, but the class drop and recent profile give her a solid chance to improve.

4
Yuino Choshinki silk

Held his ground for fourth behind Stranger at Nagoya last start, beaten over 12 lengths but not shirking the task after being near the top of an open market. That followed a third to Stay Lucky, where he had plenty to do and still came home strongly into the money. The 21-start maiden record is the obvious concern, yet his recent consistency makes him a genuine winning chance in this field.

3rd Pick
4

Yuino Choshinki

Jockey: Masaaki Ohata

Trainer: Isao Nishikimi

J: Masaaki Ohata

T: Isao Nishikimi

85---10%9/1

Analysis

Held his ground for fourth behind Stranger at Nagoya last start, beaten over 12 lengths but not shirking the task after being near the top of an open market. That followed a third to Stay Lucky, where he had plenty to do and still came home strongly into the money. The 21-start maiden record is the obvious concern, yet his recent consistency makes him a genuine winning chance in this field.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.