JP - Nagoya - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

7.5f

Unknown

Dirt

GOOD

6.7K

VIEW

Verdict

WIN PRIME (2) has switched yards since finishing tenth a month ago over 1 ?m at Niigata Dirt. Expecting a seamless transition. NIKITA (6) has been out of the placings at her last couple of outings, the latest when she couldn't come after settling back and finished 15th over 7f at Kyoto. Expecting a far better run at this level. FAFROTSKIES (7) was out of the money when resuming from a spell last start over 1 ?m at Niigata Dirt, beaten 52 lengths. Strips fitter and can take this out. EVER WIND (11) has missed the frame at her last couple of outings, the latest when a disappointing 12th over 1 ?m at Niigata Dirt. Don't underestimate in this much easier assignment.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Third-up today. Resuming 11th of 16 at Niigata on May 10 over 1m, 7 len behind Fast Forward with 112lbs at $230.30. Last start ran second last of 11 at Niigata Dirt on May 16 over 1m, 21 len behind Bold Tower with 115lbs at $155.50. Can improve. Top chance if at her best. 1st Pick 2 Win Prime Jockey: Ogasawara Antelope Trainer: Satoru Setoguchi J: Ogasawara Antelope T: Satoru Setoguchi	174	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 11th of 16 at Niigata on May 10 over 1m, 7 len behind Fast Forward with 112lbs at $230.30. Last start ran second last of 11 at Niigata Dirt on May 16 over 1m, 21 len behind Bold Tower with 115lbs at $155.50. Can improve. Top chance if at her best.
6	Lining up for just third start. At very long odds at debut, 12th of 14 at Hanshin Dirt on March 7 over 1m, 15 len behind Strada with 121lbs at $155.70. Last start 15th of 18 at Kyoto on May 2 over 7f, 14 len behind Lien Mahina with 121lbs at $84.90. Overlook recent runs, she is a definite winning chance. 2nd Pick 6 Nikita Jockey: Junki Mochizuki Trainer: Kazuo Fujigasaki J: Junki Mochizuki T: Kazuo Fujigasaki	84	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Lining up for just third start. At very long odds at debut, 12th of 14 at Hanshin Dirt on March 7 over 1m, 15 len behind Strada with 121lbs at $155.70. Last start 15th of 18 at Kyoto on May 2 over 7f, 14 len behind Lien Mahina with 121lbs at $84.90. Overlook recent runs, she is a definite winning chance.
7	Second run back. Comes off a 44-day let-up. First-up after six months ran second last of 14 at Niigata Dirt on May 3 over 1m, 52 len behind Kashino Spark with 126lbs at $62.90. Previously second-up ran last of 11 at Kyoto Dirt on November 15 over 7f, 27 len behind Smart Julius with 123lbs at $38.70. Worth another chance. 3rd Pick 7 Fafrotskies Jockey: Tatsuya Watanabe Trainer: Yukio Abe J: Tatsuya Watanabe T: Yukio Abe	55	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 44-day let-up. First-up after six months ran second last of 14 at Niigata Dirt on May 3 over 1m, 52 len behind Kashino Spark with 126lbs at $62.90. Previously second-up ran last of 11 at Kyoto Dirt on November 15 over 7f, 27 len behind Smart Julius with 123lbs at $38.70. Worth another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

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A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.