JP - Nagoya - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

GOOD

6.4K

VIEW

Verdict

SAMMARU REVE (5) was sent out favourite last time and scored by 5 lengths at this track. Has started two times at this course and distance and is yet to miss the placings. Can go on with it. I'LL FILER (1) proved too strong two runs ago here but couldn't follow that up last time out when sixth over 7 ½f at this track. Suitably placed so anticipating a better run this time. LUNAR PHASE (8) broke through for her maiden win over 7f at this track last time, scoring comfortably. Shaping up nicely and she should be in the finish again. CAT SUNRISE (3) finished fourth at her last appearance over 7 ½f at this track on March 25. No surprise if she figured in the finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	At the latest run favourite, won by 5 len at this track March 23 over 7 ½f defeating Meisho Miss Ichi carrying 121lbs at $1.60. The run before that 5th of 12 at this track on March 9 over 7 ½f, 5 len behind Mont Saint Katie carrying 121lbs at $1.20. Expected to go well. 1st Pick 5 Sammaru Reve Jockey: Junki Mochizuki Trainer: Hiroyuki Imazu J: Junki Mochizuki T: Hiroyuki Imazu	163	-	-	-	50%
Analysis At the latest run favourite, won by 5 len at this track March 23 over 7 ½f defeating Meisho Miss Ichi carrying 121lbs at $1.60. The run before that 5th of 12 at this track on March 9 over 7 ½f, 5 len behind Mont Saint Katie carrying 121lbs at $1.20. Expected to go well.
1	Most recently 6th of 12 at this track on March 25 over 7 ½f, 5 len behind Aya Chance carrying 121lbs at $3. The race before that favourite, won by 1.0 len at this track February 25 over 7 ½f defeating Gran Ridge Line with 121lbs at $22.90. An inside draw is a big advantage. Winning prospects. 2nd Pick 1 I'll Filer Jockey: Seigo Tsukamoto Trainer: Enokiya Mitsuru J: Seigo Tsukamoto T: Enokiya Mitsuru	178	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Most recently 6th of 12 at this track on March 25 over 7 ½f, 5 len behind Aya Chance carrying 121lbs at $3. The race before that favourite, won by 1.0 len at this track February 25 over 7 ½f defeating Gran Ridge Line with 121lbs at $22.90. An inside draw is a big advantage. Winning prospects.
8	Second-up. First-up after three months favourite, won by 2.5 len at this track March 23 over 7f defeating Mischmasch with 121lbs at $1.90. Previously second-up 9th of 12 at this track on September 18 over 7 ½f, 13 len behind Oscillation carrying 121lbs at $52.60. The one to beat based on that latest effort. Improver with winning prospects. 3rd Pick 8 Lunar Phase Jockey: Keita Nishi Trainer: Yoshiyuki Sakaguchi J: Keita Nishi T: Yoshiyuki Sakaguchi	112	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months favourite, won by 2.5 len at this track March 23 over 7f defeating Mischmasch with 121lbs at $1.90. Previously second-up 9th of 12 at this track on September 18 over 7 ½f, 13 len behind Oscillation carrying 121lbs at $52.60. The one to beat based on that latest effort. Improver with winning prospects.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.