JP - Nagoya - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

4.6f

Unknown

Dirt

8.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

ONDINE (10) gets top billing in a race where the main hopes all have some qualification. She was beaten over 10 lengths as a well-supported favourite at Nagoya last start, so the market trust was not repaid, but her debut third showed enough and she is third-up with the class drop in her favour. NATIVE DANCE (1) has the steadier recent profile, with consecutive fourths and market respect both times, the latest margin behind Flattern was plain, though he did beat Ondine in that meeting. PHILIA ASTI (9) brings the cleanest single piece of fresh form, placing on debut behind Solaine after travelling well and working home evenly, and natural improvement keeps her right in the contest. BE GIFTED (5) was costly as a very short odds-on favourite on debut, but she did keep battling after sitting behind the leaders and can improve enough to be in the minor-money picture.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Kept fresh for four weeks after finishing fifth at Nagoya as a well-supported favourite, beaten over 10 lengths by Flattern after settling handy and looking ready to pounce. Her debut third behind Gold Feather was also by a big margin but showed she can place at this track and trip. Third-up and back in suitable company, she can rebound if that latest run has not left a mark. 1st Pick 10 Ondine Jockey: Tatsuya Watanabe Trainer: Fujigasaki Kazuhito J: Tatsuya Watanabe T: Fujigasaki Kazuhito	106	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Kept fresh for four weeks after finishing fifth at Nagoya as a well-supported favourite, beaten over 10 lengths by Flattern after settling handy and looking ready to pounce. Her debut third behind Gold Feather was also by a big margin but showed she can place at this track and trip. Third-up and back in suitable company, she can rebound if that latest run has not left a mark.
1	Returns from a four-week freshening after finishing fourth at Nagoya, beaten ten lengths by Flattern, but he did pick up nicely from well back and again had market respect. His previous fourth on a fast track, beaten just over three lengths by Gold Touch, reads better. Still a maiden after three runs, yet he beat Ondine recently and this is the right sort of race for him to prove strongest late. 2nd Pick 1 Native Dance Jockey: Hosokawa Satoshi Trainer: Uto Hideki J: Hosokawa Satoshi T: Uto Hideki	176	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Returns from a four-week freshening after finishing fourth at Nagoya, beaten ten lengths by Flattern, but he did pick up nicely from well back and again had market respect. His previous fourth on a fast track, beaten just over three lengths by Gold Touch, reads better. Still a maiden after three runs, yet he beat Ondine recently and this is the right sort of race for him to prove strongest late.
9	Placed on debut at Nagoya, finishing third behind Solaine and beaten four and a half lengths after travelling well to the turn and working home evenly. She was only an outside chance in the market, so the effort carried merit. With a leading jockey and strong track stable involved, she has clear upside and looks a genuine winning chance if she improves again. 3rd Pick 9 Philia Asti Jockey: Seigo Tsukamoto Trainer: Hiroyuki Imazu J: Seigo Tsukamoto T: Hiroyuki Imazu	188	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Placed on debut at Nagoya, finishing third behind Solaine and beaten four and a half lengths after travelling well to the turn and working home evenly. She was only an outside chance in the market, so the effort carried merit. With a leading jockey and strong track stable involved, she has clear upside and looks a genuine winning chance if she improves again.

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