JP - Nagoya - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

7.5f

Unknown

Dirt

6.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

AMETHYST BRILLER (11) is the horse to beat despite a plain recent form card, with the class drop and light 115lbs giving her the clearest reset after being well held over 1 ?m at Chukyo. ARDAH (2) was beaten out of sight first-up at Chukyo Dirt, but his earlier Hanshin run was less severe and he should strip fitter second-up while coming back to 7 ½f. IBERIS AMARA (7) brings the tidiest latest margin of the main hopes, beaten four lengths at Niigata, and that looks competitive in a race short on convincing recent form. ECORO ZELDA (10) is more a place-to-win type: her Sapporo run two back was sounder than the latest, but she still has to convert that into a sharper finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Returns from a one-month freshening after finishing second last at Chukyo over 1m, beaten over 18 lengths behind My Complete when unwanted in the market. Her run prior was better, eighth over 1 ¼m and beaten just over six lengths by Prez Bhean despite offering little after getting the right run. The sharp class drop and 115lbs give her the best setup in a thin race. 1st Pick 11 Amethyst Briller Jockey: Ogasawara Antelope Trainer: Katsuyuki Imazu J: Ogasawara Antelope T: Katsuyuki Imazu	104	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Returns from a one-month freshening after finishing second last at Chukyo over 1m, beaten over 18 lengths behind My Complete when unwanted in the market. Her run prior was better, eighth over 1 ¼m and beaten just over six lengths by Prez Bhean despite offering little after getting the right run. The sharp class drop and 115lbs give her the best setup in a thin race.
2	Back after five weeks following a 12th at Chukyo Dirt, where he was never competitive and was beaten out of sight behind Meisho Nanashiro. His Hanshin run two back was better, beaten six lengths by Orion Blade over 1 ¼m, and he was not as completely dismissed then. The class drop is the key positive, but coming back to 7 ½f leaves a query he must answer. 2nd Pick 2 Ardah Jockey: Tomomori Syotaro Trainer: Masato Yokoi J: Tomomori Syotaro T: Masato Yokoi	75	-	-	-	6%
Analysis Back after five weeks following a 12th at Chukyo Dirt, where he was never competitive and was beaten out of sight behind Meisho Nanashiro. His Hanshin run two back was better, beaten six lengths by Orion Blade over 1 ¼m, and he was not as completely dismissed then. The class drop is the key positive, but coming back to 7 ½f leaves a query he must answer.
7	Returns from a one-month freshening after a ninth at Niigata over 1 ¼m, beaten four lengths by Peaceful Mind at long odds. That was clearly stronger than his Tokyo run prior, where he was 11th and beaten just over eight lengths after being unable to raise a challenge. The class drop gives him a genuine winning platform, though the shorter 7 ½f must suit. 3rd Pick 7 Iberis Amara Jockey: Hiroki Murakami Trainer: Enokiya Mitsuru J: Hiroki Murakami T: Enokiya Mitsuru	128	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Returns from a one-month freshening after a ninth at Niigata over 1 ¼m, beaten four lengths by Peaceful Mind at long odds. That was clearly stronger than his Tokyo run prior, where he was 11th and beaten just over eight lengths after being unable to raise a challenge. The class drop gives him a genuine winning platform, though the shorter 7 ½f must suit.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.