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4:02 PM

GB - Newton Abbot - Race 7

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
21.6f
Handicap Hurdle
Turf
Good (Good to Firm in places)
10.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

The form of MOTHER SHIP's Sligo run has been franked and she can go one better here at the expense of Ocean Heights, who should appreciate this longer trip. Captain Connor appeals best of the rest for place purposes.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Mother Ship (Ire) silk

Modest maiden. In first-time tongue strap, stopped the slide when neck second of 16 to Move It On Over in handicap hurdle at Sligo (21f, good, 12/1) 19 days ago. Finished a place in front of a next-time-out winner there and can go well again.

1st Pick
1

Mother Ship (Ire)

Jockey: Paddy Hanlon

Trainer: John Joseph Hanlon, Ireland

J: Paddy Hanlon

T: John Joseph Hanlon, Ireland

100---34%2/1

Analysis

Modest maiden. In first-time tongue strap, stopped the slide when neck second of 16 to Move It On Over in handicap hurdle at Sligo (21f, good, 12/1) 19 days ago. Finished a place in front of a next-time-out winner there and can go well again.

3
Ocean Heights silk

Some creditable efforts over hurdles this summer, including when runner-up at Uttoxeter in July. Followed that with a lesser effort at Worcester just over 2 weeks ago but has shaped like a longer trip on a tight track like this will suit. Shortlist material.

2nd Pick
3

Ocean Heights

Jockey: Jack Tudor

Trainer: David Pipe

J: Jack Tudor

T: David Pipe

99---10%9/1

Analysis

Some creditable efforts over hurdles this summer, including when runner-up at Uttoxeter in July. Followed that with a lesser effort at Worcester just over 2 weeks ago but has shaped like a longer trip on a tight track like this will suit. Shortlist material.

7
Captain Connor (Fr) silk

First run since leaving Mark Walford when 8½ lengths second at Stratford (2¾m, good, 33/1) 13 days ago, suited by strong pace back up markedly in trip. Jumping hasn't always been the safest but worth a market check on the back of last run.

3rd Pick
7

Captain Connor (Fr)

Jockey: Brendan Powell

Trainer: Clare Ellam

J: Brendan Powell

T: Clare Ellam

96---12%8/1

Analysis

First run since leaving Mark Walford when 8½ lengths second at Stratford (2¾m, good, 33/1) 13 days ago, suited by strong pace back up markedly in trip. Jumping hasn't always been the safest but worth a market check on the back of last run.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.