GB - Newton Abbot - Race 3

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

21f

Handicap Chase

Turf

Good to Soft (Soft in places)

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

With the Joe Tizzard stable going great guns a narrow vote goes the way of the reappearing STAR OF AFFINITY under Lilly Pinchin. C&D specialist It's A Breeze rates an obvious danger under top amateur Gina Andrews, who is bidding for her 100th winner under Rules. Dwight K Schrute fell on his previous attempt over fences but is very competitive off this sort of mark over hurdles and the Jamie Snowden yard is enjoying a fine autumn.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Already as good over fences as hurdles, making the most of a good opportunity in a match race at Plumpton (2½m) in February. Below-form fourth at Stratford on final start but reappears with the Joe Tizzard yard in form. Leading claims under Lilly Pinchin, who takes her first ride for the stable. 1st Pick 1 Star Of Affinity (Ire) Jockey: Lilly Pinchin Trainer: Joe Tizzard J: Lilly Pinchin T: Joe Tizzard	100	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Already as good over fences as hurdles, making the most of a good opportunity in a match race at Plumpton (2½m) in February. Below-form fourth at Stratford on final start but reappears with the Joe Tizzard yard in form. Leading claims under Lilly Pinchin, who takes her first ride for the stable.
5	Won twice over C&D in July. Creditable efforts back here on his 2 outings and likely to go well under Gina Andrews, who is bidding for a 100th winner under Rules. 2nd Pick 5 It's A Breeze (Ire) Jockey: Miss Gina Andrews Trainer: Paul Nicholls J: Miss Gina Andrews T: Paul Nicholls	98	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Won twice over C&D in July. Creditable efforts back here on his 2 outings and likely to go well under Gina Andrews, who is bidding for a 100th winner under Rules.
3	Highly competitive off similar marks in handicap hurdles last season. Fell on previous attempt over fences but did win a point at the start of his career. Returns with the Jamie Snowden stable in form and Isabelle Ryder is operating at an 18% strike rate this season. 3rd Pick 3 Dwight K Schrute Jockey: Isabelle Ryder Trainer: Jamie Snowden J: Isabelle Ryder T: Jamie Snowden	99	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Highly competitive off similar marks in handicap hurdles last season. Fell on previous attempt over fences but did win a point at the start of his career. Returns with the Jamie Snowden stable in form and Isabelle Ryder is operating at an 18% strike rate this season.

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