IE - Navan - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

8.1f

Handicap

Turf

Good (Good to Firm in Places)

14.0K

VIEW

Verdict

ALTO SAX has been better than the result on his last 2 outings and continues to look fairly treated on the form of his near miss at Leopardstown last month. Good Man Jack shaped quite nicely at Galway on his handicap debut given he met a bit of trouble on the home turn and this unexposed sort is second choice ahead of Colin Keane's mount Kc Bear, whose overall consistency since handicapping provides hope that he can bounce back from a lesser effort last time.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Latest win at Fairyhouse in June. Also a good second at Leopardstown (9f) in July and not seen to best effect on both outings since. Might prove the answer. 1st Pick 11 Alto Sax (Ire) Jockey: Reese Holohan Trainer: Peter Fahey, Ireland J: Reese Holohan T: Peter Fahey, Ireland	100	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Latest win at Fairyhouse in June. Also a good second at Leopardstown (9f) in July and not seen to best effect on both outings since. Might prove the answer.
8	Fair maiden. 18/1, creditable eighth of 18 on handicap debut at Galway (8.4f, soft) 27 days ago, having to pick way through. Much less exposed than most of these. On the shortlist. 2nd Pick 8 Good Man Jack (Ire) Jockey: R. Whearty Trainer: Patrick Magee, Ireland J: R. Whearty T: Patrick Magee, Ireland	90	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Fair maiden. 18/1, creditable eighth of 18 on handicap debut at Galway (8.4f, soft) 27 days ago, having to pick way through. Much less exposed than most of these. On the shortlist.
10	Progressed again when getting off the mark in 6f handicap at Dundalk in December. Good in-frame efforts on first 3 outings this year and the type to bounce back from a lesser run on all-weather last time (reported to have coughed post race). Colin Keane retains the ride. 3rd Pick 10 Kc Bear (Ire) Jockey: C. T. Keane Trainer: Noel Meade, Ireland J: C. T. Keane T: Noel Meade, Ireland	96	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Progressed again when getting off the mark in 6f handicap at Dundalk in December. Good in-frame efforts on first 3 outings this year and the type to bounce back from a lesser run on all-weather last time (reported to have coughed post race). Colin Keane retains the ride.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.