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Resulted

GB - Musselburgh - Race 4

Thoroughbred
5 Runners
23.8f
Maiden Hurdle
Turf
Good to Soft
34.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

The claims of ABSOLUTELY DOYEN are pretty persuasive given his progressive profile and the fact that he's unbeaten in four starts for the Nicholls yard. Sleedagh and Irish raider Walks The Talk both remain open to improvement, too, and are feared most in that order of preference. Lewisham Grove should also be on the premises but the aforementioned trio bring stronger credentials to the party.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Absolutely Doyen (Ire) silk

Made it 4-4 for Paul Nicholls when seeing off 8 rivals in a Wincanton handicap (24.7f, good to soft) on Boxing Day, eased down at the finish and leaving the strong impression that he has more in the tank. Very much the one to beat back in novice company.

1st Pick
1

Absolutely Doyen (Ire)

Jockey: Freddie Gingell

Trainer: Paul Nicholls

J: Freddie Gingell

T: Paul Nicholls

100---67%

Analysis

Made it 4-4 for Paul Nicholls when seeing off 8 rivals in a Wincanton handicap (24.7f, good to soft) on Boxing Day, eased down at the finish and leaving the strong impression that he has more in the tank. Very much the one to beat back in novice company.

5
Sleedagh (Ire) silk

£80,000 point recruit who has been runner-up on all 4 outings under Rules, most recently in a maiden hurdle at Ayr (20.4f, soft) where he wasn't knocked about. Moving back up in trip here looks a good move and he's of strong interest given his clear scope for improvement.

2nd Pick
5

Sleedagh (Ire)

Jockey: Derek Fox

Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

J: Derek Fox

T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

96---13%

Analysis

£80,000 point recruit who has been runner-up on all 4 outings under Rules, most recently in a maiden hurdle at Ayr (20.4f, soft) where he wasn't knocked about. Moving back up in trip here looks a good move and he's of strong interest given his clear scope for improvement.

4
Walks The Talk (Ire) silk

Successful at Roscommon and Kelso on first 2 starts in this sphere before finishing fifth of 9 in a listed race at Haydock (19f, good to soft) where she repeatedly jumped right. Will be suited by this return to a right-handed track/step back up in trip and solid chance for last year's winning yard.

3rd Pick
4

Walks The Talk (Ire)

Jockey: Alex Harvey

Trainer: John Mcconnell, Ireland

J: Alex Harvey

T: John Mcconnell, Ireland

95---34%

Analysis

Successful at Roscommon and Kelso on first 2 starts in this sphere before finishing fifth of 9 in a listed race at Haydock (19f, good to soft) where she repeatedly jumped right. Will be suited by this return to a right-handed track/step back up in trip and solid chance for last year's winning yard.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.