NZ - Matamata - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

10.8K

VIEW

Verdict

TYPHOON LUCY (4) was put away to mature some more after an impressive maiden win here in March coming off a freshen up. She has trialled up nicely twice in preparation for her return, and from a good gate, with Michael McNab in the saddle, she goes on top for us. SAVINA (3) just battled in the NZ Oaks before having a spell, and before that she was a handy maiden winner over 1 5/16m. She has plenty of scope to improve, and could snare a race like this fresh up, so watch her closely. THE TRENDSETTER (2) made her mark over ground last season, and she will be even better this prep. She is capable of sprinting well fresh up, so keep her safe in all combos. SEE YOU IN BEIJING (1) was a good third fresh up, and then just battled on a testing heavy track at Hawera last time out as the favourite. He has been given time to get over that effort, so follow your money, and stick with him. NIAGARA SKY (6) has raced her way back into some good form, and is worth including again.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Back after a long spell. Finished off last campaign was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 0.7 len at this track on March 22 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Sweet Disposition with 123lbs at $4.90. When resuming last campaign 4th of 10 at Ellerslie on December 11 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind Fleeting Star with 123lbs at $6.10. Ran 3rd in a Te Awamutu trial over 5 ¾f on August 25. Everything points to a positive return. 1st Pick 4 Typhoon Lucy Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Michael Mcnab T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	115	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Back after a long spell. Finished off last campaign was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 0.7 len at this track on March 22 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Sweet Disposition with 123lbs at $4.90. When resuming last campaign 4th of 10 at Ellerslie on December 11 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind Fleeting Star with 123lbs at $6.10. Ran 3rd in a Te Awamutu trial over 5 ¾f on August 25. Everything points to a positive return.
3	Is first-up after a break of seven months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign tenth of 17 at Ellerslie in the G1 Nz Oaks February 21 over 1 ½m, soft track, 9 len behind Ohope Wins carrying 125lbs at $81.20. First up last campaign second of 13 at this track October 17 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind Bradley carrying 119lbs at $13.90. Expecting a bright start to the campaign. 2nd Pick 3 Savina Jockey: Tegan Newman Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Tegan Newman T: Stephen Marsh	165	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Is first-up after a break of seven months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign tenth of 17 at Ellerslie in the G1 Nz Oaks February 21 over 1 ½m, soft track, 9 len behind Ohope Wins carrying 125lbs at $81.20. First up last campaign second of 13 at this track October 17 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind Bradley carrying 119lbs at $13.90. Expecting a bright start to the campaign.
2	Resumes. Finished off last preparation seventh of 10 at Hawera March 25 over 1 5/16m, 4 len behind Tranzed carrying 128lbs at $3.20. When resuming last campaign 12th of 16 at Ellerslie October 18 over 7f, 4 len behind Summerston with 127lbs at $51. Has sound top 4 prospects. 3rd Pick 2 The Trendsetter Jockey: Courtney Barnes Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Courtney Barnes T: Stephen Marsh	86	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Resumes. Finished off last preparation seventh of 10 at Hawera March 25 over 1 5/16m, 4 len behind Tranzed carrying 128lbs at $3.20. When resuming last campaign 12th of 16 at Ellerslie October 18 over 7f, 4 len behind Summerston with 127lbs at $51. Has sound top 4 prospects.

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