NZ - Matamata - Race 6

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

10.8K

VIEW

Verdict

ARTISSIMO (6) did enough in her initial prep to say that there would be further improvement in her this season, and a recent trial placing confirms that she has developed nicely over her spell. She may already want more ground, but she is likely to go close to taking this out. ROCCADONNA (4) ended her last season with an unplaced effort in the G2 Lowland Stakes, and she too has gone the right way after her spell by winning a recent trial comfortably. Look for her late. LA DANZA (1) was placed in 4 of her 6 starts as a 3YO, ending that campaign in the G3 Championship Stakes out of the money. Her recent trial was good, and she can figure in the top 4 fresh up. AQUADREAM (14) makes her debut with the advantage of the coveted pole position, and she has been well educated at the trials. She will be ready to rumble on her home track. MAFIA WHISPERS (9) has had some market support in her last couple of runs, and may improve on a firmer surface. Stick with her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Resuming after a seven months break. Finished off last campaign ninth of 13 at Tauranga February 5 over 1m, soft track, 4 len behind Uptown carrying 123lbs at $4.80. On debut 12th of 14 at Tauranga Mdn-Sw December 12 over 7f, 10 len behind Khaleesi carrying 119lbs at $45.10. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign. 1st Pick 6 Artissimo Jockey: Matthew Cameron Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Matthew Cameron T: Andrew Forsman	70	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Resuming after a seven months break. Finished off last campaign ninth of 13 at Tauranga February 5 over 1m, soft track, 4 len behind Uptown carrying 123lbs at $4.80. On debut 12th of 14 at Tauranga Mdn-Sw December 12 over 7f, 10 len behind Khaleesi carrying 119lbs at $45.10. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign.
4	Resuming after a eight months break. Finished off last preparation tenth of 13 at Trentham in the G2 Lowland Stks January 31 over 1 5/16m, 13 len behind Ultimate Habit carrying 125lbs at $20.70. On debut fourth of 11 at Te Aroha December 7 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Stella Ma Bella with 122lbs at $9.60. Expected to feature fresh up. 2nd Pick 4 Roccadonna Jockey: Abinith Simon Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: Abinith Simon T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	78	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Resuming after a eight months break. Finished off last preparation tenth of 13 at Trentham in the G2 Lowland Stks January 31 over 1 5/16m, 13 len behind Ultimate Habit carrying 125lbs at $20.70. On debut fourth of 11 at Te Aroha December 7 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Stella Ma Bella with 122lbs at $9.60. Expected to feature fresh up.
1	Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last preparation 11th of 15 at Ellerslie in the G3 Trelawney April 18 over 1 5/16m, soft track, 6 len behind Solid Gold carrying 121lbs at $33.10. On debut second of 9 at Arawa Park December 5 over 7 ¾f, soft track, 1.0 len behind Dragon Blossom with 123lbs at $17.70. Looks all set for a positive return. 3rd Pick 1 La Danza Jockey: Tom Wigram Trainer: Darryn & Briar Weatherley J: Tom Wigram T: Darryn & Briar Weatherley	85	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last preparation 11th of 15 at Ellerslie in the G3 Trelawney April 18 over 1 5/16m, soft track, 6 len behind Solid Gold carrying 121lbs at $33.10. On debut second of 9 at Arawa Park December 5 over 7 ¾f, soft track, 1.0 len behind Dragon Blossom with 123lbs at $17.70. Looks all set for a positive return.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).