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2:49 AM

NZ - Matamata - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Unknown
Turf
HEAVY 8
9.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

JUNGLE LOVE (3) was well in the market when resuming with a big finishing second at Otaki nearly a month ago, and her stable is just starting to fire up again. She cops another tricky gate, but with a dip in class, she is good enough to shoulder more weight and go one better. EVER CHARM (6) has not won for some time, but he has been thereabouts all prep. He has been doing his best work late recently and was only beaten by a nose in his penultimate start. If the gaps come at the right time, he can have the last say. BASSOROC (4) has a tough trip wide at Te Aroha last time out and was only overwhelmed late after hitting the front early in the run home. She gets a nice swing in her draw and is likely to figure in the top 4 this time. THE NOMAD (2) bounced straight back into form when finishing third at Arawa Park 5 weeks ago. Stick with him for all combos. DID THE TRICK (7) did not fire at Ellerslie last start, and he seems to prefer racing in this direction. He is worth another chance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Jungle Love silk

Second-up. First-up after four months made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 12 at Otaki on May 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Dollybird carrying 120lbs at $5.80. Previously second-up 4th of 9 at Otaki on January 9 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Procul Boy with 119lbs at $3.90. Hard to beat.

1st Pick
3

Jungle Love

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Peter Lock

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Peter Lock

112---43%11/8

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after four months made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 12 at Otaki on May 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Dollybird carrying 120lbs at $5.80. Previously second-up 4th of 9 at Otaki on January 9 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Procul Boy with 119lbs at $3.90. Hard to beat.

6
Ever Charm silk

At the latest run 6th of 14 at Te Rapa on May 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Lyin' Eyes carrying 130lbs at $6.50. The run before that 2nd of 15 at Te Rapa on May 2 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.1 len behind French Thinker carrying 128lbs at $12.10. Nicely placed and is sure to run well.

2nd Pick
6

Ever Charm

Jockey: Sam Mcnab

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Sam Mcnab

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

152---16%11/2

Analysis

At the latest run 6th of 14 at Te Rapa on May 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Lyin' Eyes carrying 130lbs at $6.50. The run before that 2nd of 15 at Te Rapa on May 2 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.1 len behind French Thinker carrying 128lbs at $12.10. Nicely placed and is sure to run well.

4
Bassoroc silk

Last start 5th of 14 at Te Aroha on June 4 over 1m, on a wet track, 8 len behind Principled with 122lbs at $21.20. The race before that ran last of 13 at Ellerslie on May 16 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Super Fly carrying 117lbs at $14.80. Better placed this time and can do much better.

3rd Pick
4

Bassoroc

Jockey: Jack Taplin

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Jack Taplin

T: Stephen Marsh

88---11%17/2

Analysis

Last start 5th of 14 at Te Aroha on June 4 over 1m, on a wet track, 8 len behind Principled with 122lbs at $21.20. The race before that ran last of 13 at Ellerslie on May 16 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Super Fly carrying 117lbs at $14.80. Better placed this time and can do much better.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.