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12:35 midnight

NZ - Matamata - Race 1

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 8
10.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CONISTON (3) had won 3 trials leading up to a modest effort fresh up for seventh when starting as a warm favourite. He did himself no favours that day by racing greenly throughout. He would have derived plenty of benefit from that run, and can set the record straight in this. CONCURRENCE (4) makes his debut after some handy trials. He may want more ground soon enough, but with plenty of breeding to live up to, he will be ready to rumble on his home track. RUSSIAN PRIME (7) just missed on debut at Ellerslie, before failing to cop the wet track at Ruakaka as the favourite there just over a month ago. Stick with her. VINTAGE ROSE (10) is a stablemate of the second pick, and she too will also want more ground than this, but she is on debut, and sure to be running on. VODKA AND CAVIAR (8) was put aside after an encouraging effort on debut in her sole run as a juvenile. She will be stronger now, and with a couple of trials under her belt, she is worth including in all combos.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Coniston silk

Was well-supported at debut, from last on the turn 7th of 13 at Te Rapa on August 22 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Texas Cowboy carrying 127lbs at $2.70. Battled home well on debut and can feature with a bit of improvement.

1st Pick
3

Coniston

Jockey: Michael Mcnab

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Michael Mcnab

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

62---53%10/11

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, from last on the turn 7th of 13 at Te Rapa on August 22 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Texas Cowboy carrying 127lbs at $2.70. Battled home well on debut and can feature with a bit of improvement.

4
Concurrence silk

Colt by Tagaloa making his first appearance. Finished fourth in a Te Awamutu trial over 5 ¾f on August 25. No surprise to see him feature.

2nd Pick
4

Concurrence

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Craig Grylls

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

77---12%15/2

Analysis

Colt by Tagaloa making his first appearance. Finished fourth in a Te Awamutu trial over 5 ¾f on August 25. No surprise to see him feature.

7
Russian Prime silk

Dual acceptor. Lining up for just third start. At debut, 2nd of 9 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind Back Of The Bus with 119lbs at $6.80. Last start 5th of 13 at Ruakaka on August 15 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Fraudster carrying 119lbs at $3.50. Will be hard to beat.

3rd Pick
7

Russian Prime

Jockey: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray

J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray

84---17%5/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Lining up for just third start. At debut, 2nd of 9 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind Back Of The Bus with 119lbs at $6.80. Last start 5th of 13 at Ruakaka on August 15 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Fraudster carrying 119lbs at $3.50. Will be hard to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.