NZH - Motukarara - Race 11

Harness

14 Runners

9.9f

Unknown

Turf

7.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

MIGHTY FLYING LOU (5) has been on the money a lot of late and went close again last time over 1 ³/16m at Rangiora, finishing second and 2.75 metres from the winner. Meets a comparable field and he is a strong winning hope. LONNEKERS (1) finished second at Mt Harding two runs ago before finishing second at his latest appearance over 1 ½m at Addington, beaten 2.5 metres. Has the benefit of a good draw. Finds a suitable assignment and can play a significant role. DOVER TERRACE (4) didn't do a bad job when sixth over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway last time out. KOWHAI STAR (3) should not have any excuses from her favourable draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Fair run when beaten by 5 m finishing third behind Take The Miki at Oamaru over 1 ¼m on December 10 at $4.40. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.75 m finishing second behind Crystal at Rangiora over 1 ³/16m in a 3yo+ on December 14 at $5. Hard to fault on current form. 1st Pick 5 Mighty Flying Lou Jockey: Gerard O'reilly Trainer: Laurence Hanrahan J: Gerard O'reilly T: Laurence Hanrahan	77	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Fair run when beaten by 5 m finishing third behind Take The Miki at Oamaru over 1 ¼m on December 10 at $4.40. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.75 m finishing second behind Crystal at Rangiora over 1 ³/16m in a 3yo+ on December 14 at $5. Hard to fault on current form.
1	Fair performance when beaten by 3 m finishing second behind Hi Hopes at Mt Harding over 1 ½m in a 3yo+ on November 30 at $13.10. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.5 m finishing second behind Flying Bird at Addington over 1 ½m in a 4yo+ on December 12 at $8.80. Hard to fault on current form. 2nd Pick 1 Lonnekers Jockey: Ross Cameron Trainer: Ross Cameron J: Ross Cameron T: Ross Cameron	75	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Fair performance when beaten by 3 m finishing second behind Hi Hopes at Mt Harding over 1 ½m in a 3yo+ on November 30 at $13.10. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.5 m finishing second behind Flying Bird at Addington over 1 ½m in a 4yo+ on December 12 at $8.80. Hard to fault on current form.
4	Failed to impress last start, 6th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 13 m by Amass (2:01.00) in 5yo+ GH on December 21 at $19.30. Showed ability the race before when he won by 2.25 m as favourite (Fr6) at Mt Harding (2:) beating Jay R Tolkien in on December 18 at $2.10. Big run expected. 3rd Pick 4 Dover Terrace Jockey: Carter Dalgety Trainer: Bronson Munro J: Carter Dalgety T: Bronson Munro	75	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Failed to impress last start, 6th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 13 m by Amass (2:01.00) in 5yo+ GH on December 21 at $19.30. Showed ability the race before when he won by 2.25 m as favourite (Fr6) at Mt Harding (2:) beating Jay R Tolkien in on December 18 at $2.10. Big run expected.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

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A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.