NZH - Mount Harding - Race 4

Harness

17 Runners

11.9f

Unknown

Turf

7.2K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

KENSINGTON MIKE (16) finished eighth last start, beaten 95 metres at Oamaru over 1 ¼m. Will need a bit of luck negotiating a very wide starting position. Facing a tougher assignment but he is good enough to cope. DOWNBYTHEBEACH (3) is a three-year-old gelding from the Mark Jones stable on debut. Sure to enjoy an economical run from this draw. Has strong trial form coming into this. Will be ready to run a big race. CARRERA VAMOS (2) is close to a win after two successive seconds, the latest over 1 ¼m at Oamaru. Capable of taking this out. MAJOR LI (4) showed pleasing improvement last time out when third over 1 ³/16m at Addington.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
16	Didn't impress first-up beaten 95 m eighth behind Pacific Thunder at Oamaru over 1 ¼m in a 3yo+ on January 21. Expect a much better run this time. 1st Pick 16 Kensington Mike Jockey: Tim Williams Trainer: Steve & Amanda Telfer J: Tim Williams T: Steve & Amanda Telfer	77	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Didn't impress first-up beaten 95 m eighth behind Pacific Thunder at Oamaru over 1 ¼m in a 3yo+ on January 21. Expect a much better run this time.
3	Three-year-old gelding by Downbytheseaside out of Allaboutjoy having his first start. Won a trial on January 30 at Addington over 1 ¼m. Trialling well and a bold showing is expected. 2nd Pick 3 Downbythebeach Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Jones J: Non Runner T: Mark Jones	75	-	-	-	16%	Scratched
Analysis Three-year-old gelding by Downbytheseaside out of Allaboutjoy having his first start. Won a trial on January 30 at Addington over 1 ¼m. Trialling well and a bold showing is expected.
2	Fair run when beaten by 6 m finishing second behind Midnight Sophia at Oamaru over 1 ¼m in a 3yo+ FM on January 21 at $9.90. Then a handy effort when beaten by 8 m finishing second behind Twice The Charm at Oamaru over 1 ¼m in a 3yo+ on February 1 at $3.80. Deserves a win and gets her chance from an inside draw. 3rd Pick 2 Carrera Vamos Jockey: Sarah O'reilly Trainer: Brent & Tim White J: Sarah O'reilly T: Brent & Tim White	73	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Fair run when beaten by 6 m finishing second behind Midnight Sophia at Oamaru over 1 ¼m in a 3yo+ FM on January 21 at $9.90. Then a handy effort when beaten by 8 m finishing second behind Twice The Charm at Oamaru over 1 ¼m in a 3yo+ on February 1 at $3.80. Deserves a win and gets her chance from an inside draw.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.