NZH - Mount Harding - Race 5

Harness

14 Runners

8.4f

Unknown

Turf

6.5K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

LIBERTY GIRL (3) could only manage to finish fifth at her latest appearance over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway, failing to live up to market expectations. Form prior to that was a better guide to her ability, including a sound second over 1 ?m at Oamaru two starts ago. Sure to enjoy an economical run from this draw. This looks a sterner test than last time but on her best form she is capable of a far better performance. BLU DIAMOND (12) has been competitive of late and kept the ball rolling last time when 7 metres from the winner in fourth over 1 ?m at Oamaru. Will need a bit of luck negotiating a very wide starting position. Meets a comparable field and he can take care of this line-up. DELIGHTFUL GALLEON (9) is in the mix following a fifth at his most recent appearance over 1 ?m at Addington. PICKETTYWITCH (1) is worth some thought after her last-start fourth over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway on August 30.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Last start 5th (Fr8) over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 10 m by Ultimatum (3:05.20) in 3yo+ on August 30 at $2.40. Before that, a solid effort when 2nd (Fr4) over 1m at Oamaru, beaten 3.5 m by Conan (3:19.66) in 3yo+ on August 16 at $20.60. Can bounce back. 1st Pick 3 Liberty Girl Jockey: Gemma Thornley Trainer: D L Mitchell J: Gemma Thornley T: D L Mitchell	77	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start 5th (Fr8) over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 10 m by Ultimatum (3:05.20) in 3yo+ on August 30 at $2.40. Before that, a solid effort when 2nd (Fr4) over 1m at Oamaru, beaten 3.5 m by Conan (3:19.66) in 3yo+ on August 16 at $20.60. Can bounce back.
12	Last start 4th (Fr6) over 1m at Oamaru, beaten 7 m by Conan (3:19.66) in 3yo+ on August 16 at $2.80. Before that, a solid effort when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 3 m by Rosario (3:00.50) in 3yo+ on August 9 at $8.60. Rates highly. Sure to be there at the business end. 2nd Pick 12 Blu Diamond Jockey: Ricky May Trainer: Ricky May J: Ricky May T: Ricky May	76	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 4th (Fr6) over 1m at Oamaru, beaten 7 m by Conan (3:19.66) in 3yo+ on August 16 at $2.80. Before that, a solid effort when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 3 m by Rosario (3:00.50) in 3yo+ on August 9 at $8.60. Rates highly. Sure to be there at the business end.
9	Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Nikolai Ray at Addington over 1m in a 3yo+ on July 17 at $7.40. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 3rd (Fr5) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 10 m by Ringleader (2:26.30) in 3yo+ on July 3 at $13.20. Big chance to find the winners' list. 3rd Pick 9 Delightful Galleon Jockey: Ben Hope Trainer: Greg & Ben Hope J: Ben Hope T: Greg & Ben Hope	75	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Nikolai Ray at Addington over 1m in a 3yo+ on July 17 at $7.40. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 3rd (Fr5) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 10 m by Ringleader (2:26.30) in 3yo+ on July 3 at $13.20. Big chance to find the winners' list.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.