NZH - Mount Harding - Race 1

Harness

13 Runners

11.4f

Unknown

Turf

7.2K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

SWIFT GUY (6) was in the money at Phar Lap Racecourse two runs ago before finishing 11th at his latest appearance over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 21 metres. Finds a nice race and can find winning form. DO YOU WANNA DANCE (2) ran tenth last start at Rangiora over 1 ¼m, beaten 13 metres. Talented and has plenty of upside. Expected to run well. HERE COMES MARTY (11) should be ready to peak now after finishing eighth over 1 ¼m at Rangiora a week-and-a-half ago after having to race wide over the early running. Expect him to give this a real shake. CHANCE ON ME (8) is the best of the rest after finishing fifth over 1 ¼m at Motukarara Raceway last time out when denied racing room over the final stages.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Last start was well beaten into eleventh behind Justyouwait at Ashburton Raceway over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ on November 13 at $17.40. Performed better the start before with a good run when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 5/16m at Phar Lap Racecourse, beaten a neck by Rapid Response (2:49.10) in 3yo+ on October 26 at $7. Rates highly and can atone. 1st Pick 6 Swift Guy Jockey: Gerard O'reilly Trainer: K W O'reilly J: Gerard O'reilly T: K W O'reilly	77	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start was well beaten into eleventh behind Justyouwait at Ashburton Raceway over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ on November 13 at $17.40. Performed better the start before with a good run when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 5/16m at Phar Lap Racecourse, beaten a neck by Rapid Response (2:49.10) in 3yo+ on October 26 at $7. Rates highly and can atone.
2	Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 10th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 13 m by Whatz My Choice (2:27.60) in 3yo+ on November 20 at $5.70. The run previous 7th (Fr8) over 1 ³/16m at Addington beaten 23 m by Elton J (2:24.50) in 3yo+ on November 7 at $14.70. Capable of taking this out. 2nd Pick 2 Do You Wanna Dance Jockey: Gavin Smith Trainer: Matt Purvis J: Gavin Smith T: Matt Purvis	76	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 10th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 13 m by Whatz My Choice (2:27.60) in 3yo+ on November 20 at $5.70. The run previous 7th (Fr8) over 1 ³/16m at Addington beaten 23 m by Elton J (2:24.50) in 3yo+ on November 7 at $14.70. Capable of taking this out.
11	Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 8th (Fr7) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora beaten 11 m by Whatz My Choice (2:27.60) in 3yo+ on November 20 at $11.90. At the previous start 8th (Fr3) over 1 ½m at Kaikoura, beaten 40 m by Bettor Way (3:05.30) in 3yo+ on November 2 at $6.10. Can make amends. 3rd Pick 11 Here Comes Marty Jockey: Robbie Close Trainer: Andrew Stuart J: Robbie Close T: Andrew Stuart	75	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 8th (Fr7) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora beaten 11 m by Whatz My Choice (2:27.60) in 3yo+ on November 20 at $11.90. At the previous start 8th (Fr3) over 1 ½m at Kaikoura, beaten 40 m by Bettor Way (3:05.30) in 3yo+ on November 2 at $6.10. Can make amends.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.