AU - Illawarra Grange - Race 8

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

29.3K

VIEW

Verdict

THREE ARROWS (3) no excuses today on an improving track fifth-up. Covered ground early up on the speed before fading to finish fourth over 7f at Newcastle. Zac Lloyd takes the reins and race fitness can see him score a long overdue win. FIFTYFIVECHEVY (4) slashing return from back in the field with an unlucky second over 7 ?f at Moruya. Sprints equally as well second-up and has genuine winning prospects. ALL MACHIAVELLIAN (9) returns from a 40-day let-up. Chipped away late over the 1m when third at Kembla Grange in slightly stronger grade. Will be ridden for luck from the gate and not to be overlooked. PESCHIERA (11) better showing at latest when she showed good early speed before folding up in the straight to finish third over 7f at Newcastle. Maps well and stays in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Newcastle Cond Bm68 on July 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Spiv carrying 130lbs at $3.70. The start before that 7th of 12 at Warwick Farm Cg&E Bm72 on June 24 over 6 ½f, 1.5 len behind High Blue Sea carrying 127lbs at $9. Key jockey change and ready to run a big race. 1st Pick 3 Three Arrows Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton J: Zac Lloyd T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton	193	-	-	-	29%
Analysis At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Newcastle Cond Bm68 on July 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Spiv carrying 130lbs at $3.70. The start before that 7th of 12 at Warwick Farm Cg&E Bm72 on June 24 over 6 ½f, 1.5 len behind High Blue Sea carrying 127lbs at $9. Key jockey change and ready to run a big race.
4	Second run back. First-up after four months 2nd of 13 at Moruya Bm74 on July 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind The Stars Align with 132lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up 5th of 10 at Canterbury Bm72 on November 28 over 7 ¾f, 1.5 len behind Forecaster carrying 129lbs at $14. Comes to hand quickly and is among the leading chances. 2nd Pick 4 Fiftyfivechevy Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Dylan Gibbons T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	167	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 2nd of 13 at Moruya Bm74 on July 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind The Stars Align with 132lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up 5th of 10 at Canterbury Bm72 on November 28 over 7 ¾f, 1.5 len behind Forecaster carrying 129lbs at $14. Comes to hand quickly and is among the leading chances.
9	Comes here off a 40-day let-up. Last start 3rd of 10 at Kembla Grange Bm68 on June 20 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Glastonbury Girl carrying 121lbs at $4.20. The run before that ran second last of 8 at Rosehill Midway Bm72 on June 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Smashing Time with 119lbs at $41. Strong top-three hope due for a change of luck. 3rd Pick 9 All Machiavellian Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire Trainer: Robert & Luke Price J: Jean Van Overmeire T: Robert & Luke Price	148	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Comes here off a 40-day let-up. Last start 3rd of 10 at Kembla Grange Bm68 on June 20 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Glastonbury Girl carrying 121lbs at $4.20. The run before that ran second last of 8 at Rosehill Midway Bm72 on June 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Smashing Time with 119lbs at $41. Strong top-three hope due for a change of luck.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.