AU - Illawarra Grange - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

31.4K

VIEW

Verdict

HEURISTIC (4) six weeks between runs when he closed off strongly from the inside gate to finish a narrow second over 6f at Kembla Grange in this grade. Well weighted again with Grima's claim and will prove hard to hold out. BROADWAY FOLLIES (9) gets in light with Chambers' 4lbs claim third-up and desperate for a firmer race surface. Kept fresh when she got well out of her ground for a plugging seventh over 6 ½f at Newcastle. Slashing run first-up and stays in the calculations. SNEAKY CHOICE (6) smart mare with a good winning CV resuming. Scored two tough wins at Kembla Grange in succession before going out for a spell last March. Primed with the two searching trials and winning rider sticks. Each-way. STARINION (11) is deep into the campaign and ticks a few boxes from the inside gate. Had genuine excuses from two sticky barriers at his last two starts and will prove hard to stop with Bronnett-Prag's 7lbs claim. Value contender

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Kembla Grange Prov Bm68 on July 16 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Let's Go Again with 126lbs at $4.40. The race before that ran last of 8 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on June 2 over 6 ½f, on heavy track, 45 len behind Presides with 134lbs at $3.90. Doesn't have to improve much to win this. 1st Pick 4 Heuristic Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Siena Grima T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	148	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Kembla Grange Prov Bm68 on July 16 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Let's Go Again with 126lbs at $4.40. The race before that ran last of 8 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on June 2 over 6 ½f, on heavy track, 45 len behind Presides with 134lbs at $3.90. Doesn't have to improve much to win this.
9	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 10 at Gosford Bm64 on June 11 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Harlex with 123lbs at $8.50. Second run from a spell 7th of 10 at Newcastle Prov Bm64 on July 11 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Turning Circle with 123lbs at $10. Big chance to find winning form. 2nd Pick 9 Broadway Follies Jockey: Olivia Chambers Trainer: Kristen Buchanan J: Olivia Chambers T: Kristen Buchanan	97	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 10 at Gosford Bm64 on June 11 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Harlex with 123lbs at $8.50. Second run from a spell 7th of 10 at Newcastle Prov Bm64 on July 11 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Turning Circle with 123lbs at $10. Big chance to find winning form.
6	Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign won by head Kembla Grange Mid Bm64 March 13 over 1m slow track defeating Sablonneuse carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Previously first up, fourth of 10 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Prov Cl1 January 15 over 6 ¼f, soft track, 2 len behind Herman Said carrying 123lbs at $12. Good mare who can sprint well fresh. 3rd Pick 6 Sneaky Choice Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Brad Widdup J: Tommy Berry T: Brad Widdup	114	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign won by head Kembla Grange Mid Bm64 March 13 over 1m slow track defeating Sablonneuse carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Previously first up, fourth of 10 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Prov Cl1 January 15 over 6 ¼f, soft track, 2 len behind Herman Said carrying 123lbs at $12. Good mare who can sprint well fresh.

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