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7:30 PM

GB - Lingfield - Race 7

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
5f
Handicap
Turf
Good to Firm
11.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DIOMED DUKE served warning he's ready to strike when second in a higher grade at Newmarket 8 days ago and looks to hold solid claims lining up here from a 1 lb lower mark. The Thames Boatman and Lazzar head up the dangers in the finale.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Diomed Duke silk

4-y-o who is still relatively lightly raced and he turned in his best effort of the present campaign when second at Newmarket (5f) 8 days ago. That effort suggested he's coming to the boil and he's of definite interest back down in grade.

1st Pick
4

Diomed Duke

Jockey: Olivia Haines

Trainer: Stuart Williams

J: Olivia Haines

T: Stuart Williams

100---23%7/2

Analysis

4-y-o who is still relatively lightly raced and he turned in his best effort of the present campaign when second at Newmarket (5f) 8 days ago. That effort suggested he's coming to the boil and he's of definite interest back down in grade.

1
The Thames Boatman silk

Gained breakthrough on turf at Goodwood (5f) in May and quickly dispelled a lesser effort when second behind one who dominated from the front at Salisbury (5f) 25 days ago. Can go well again from a 1 lb lower mark.

2nd Pick
1

The Thames Boatman

Jockey: Finley Marsh

Trainer: Richard Hughes

J: Finley Marsh

T: Richard Hughes

98---25%3/1

Analysis

Gained breakthrough on turf at Goodwood (5f) in May and quickly dispelled a lesser effort when second behind one who dominated from the front at Salisbury (5f) 25 days ago. Can go well again from a 1 lb lower mark.

3
Lazzar (Ire) silk

Had an excellent winter on the all-weather, winning 4 times. Yet to score on turf but he ran well despite compromising his chance with an unusually tardy start when second in a C&D handicap 4 weeks ago. Changed hands for 15,000 gns since and he's capable of exploiting this mark.

3rd Pick
3

Lazzar (Ire)

Jockey: Pat Cosgrave

Trainer: Charlie Wallis

J: Pat Cosgrave

T: Charlie Wallis

95---15%6/1

Analysis

Had an excellent winter on the all-weather, winning 4 times. Yet to score on turf but he ran well despite compromising his chance with an unusually tardy start when second in a C&D handicap 4 weeks ago. Changed hands for 15,000 gns since and he's capable of exploiting this mark.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.