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4:20 PM

GB - Lingfield - Race 1

Thoroughbred
3 Runners
11.6f
Handicap
Turf
Good to Firm
13.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PROBATION has shown promise in each of his 3 starts and with this step up to 1½m sure to suit, Kevin Philippart de Foy's gelding can make a winning handicap debut at the expense of Golden Orbit, who has been set a couple of stiff tasks this season but should find this assignment significantly easier.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Probation silk

In frame all 3 starts and took a small step forward in form terms when third of 8 in maiden at this course (1¼m, heavy) just under 6 weeks ago. Step up in trip looks a good move and he's one to note now switched to a handicap.

1st Pick
2

Probation

Jockey: Alexandra Egan

Trainer: Kevin Philippart De Foy

J: Alexandra Egan

T: Kevin Philippart De Foy

100---72%2/5

Analysis

In frame all 3 starts and took a small step forward in form terms when third of 8 in maiden at this course (1¼m, heavy) just under 6 weeks ago. Step up in trip looks a good move and he's one to note now switched to a handicap.

1
Golden Orbit silk

Sea The Stars filly who saw off a next-time-out winner when making a winning start in 7f Newmarket maiden last September. Hiked up in trip/class this season but hasn't been up to the task. Should find this switch to a handicap much easier and first-time cheekpieces replace blinkers.

2nd Pick
1

Golden Orbit

Jockey: Rossa Ryan

Trainer: Ralph Beckett

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ralph Beckett

97---36%9/5

Analysis

Sea The Stars filly who saw off a next-time-out winner when making a winning start in 7f Newmarket maiden last September. Hiked up in trip/class this season but hasn't been up to the task. Should find this switch to a handicap much easier and first-time cheekpieces replace blinkers.

3
Rajendra silk

Looks to have been brought along with handicaps in mind but never figured on first start in such company after a 3-month break at this course (9f, heavy) just under 6 weeks ago. Upped further in trip but tough to see him featuring from 2 lb out of weights.

3rd Pick
3

Rajendra

Jockey: Saffie Osborne

Trainer: David Simcock

J: Saffie Osborne

T: David Simcock

93---23%7/2

Analysis

Looks to have been brought along with handicaps in mind but never figured on first start in such company after a 3-month break at this course (9f, heavy) just under 6 weeks ago. Upped further in trip but tough to see him featuring from 2 lb out of weights.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.