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4:55 PM

IE - Leopardstown - Race 6

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
28.3f
Handicap Chase
Turf
Yielding to Soft
29.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SO THEY TELL ME stepped up on previous chasing efforts tackling a handicap for the first time in this sphere when third at Navan and remains potentially on a handy mark on hurdles form. Onethreefivenotout has made a frustrating start for current connections but is a player if his jumping holds up, while the unexposed Savante must be considered under a penalty given how much she had in hand at Navan on Saturday.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
14
So They Tell Me (Ire) silk

Sole win came over hurdles in June 2024 and easily best effort over fences when third of 17 in handicap at Navan (24f, heavy, 16/1) 22 days ago. Player off similar mark if seeing out longer trip.

1st Pick
14

So They Tell Me (Ire)

Jockey: A. P. Kelly

Trainer: Padraig Roche, Ireland

J: A. P. Kelly

T: Padraig Roche, Ireland

100---8%12/1

Analysis

Sole win came over hurdles in June 2024 and easily best effort over fences when third of 17 in handicap at Navan (24f, heavy, 16/1) 22 days ago. Player off similar mark if seeing out longer trip.

1
Onethreefivenotout (Ire) silk

Second in 3m Down Royal handicap on his first outing for Gordon Elliott but has failed to complete twice since, strong in the betting when unseated rider early doors at Navan. Worth another chance.

2nd Pick
1

Onethreefivenotout (Ire)

Jockey: James Smith

Trainer: Gordon Elliott, Ireland

J: James Smith

T: Gordon Elliott, Ireland

97---17%

Scratched

Analysis

Second in 3m Down Royal handicap on his first outing for Gordon Elliott but has failed to complete twice since, strong in the betting when unseated rider early doors at Navan. Worth another chance.

8
Savante (Ire) silk

Highly promising individual. Fairly useful winner at 20f over hurdles. Career best when easily winning 5-runner handicap chase (4/5) at Navan (20.4f, heavy) 2 days ago. Carries penalty but open to significant improvement in this sphere.

3rd Pick
8

Savante (Ire)

Jockey: B. Hayes

Trainer: Colm A. Murphy, Ireland

J: B. Hayes

T: Colm A. Murphy, Ireland

98---19%

Scratched

Analysis

Highly promising individual. Fairly useful winner at 20f over hurdles. Career best when easily winning 5-runner handicap chase (4/5) at Navan (20.4f, heavy) 2 days ago. Carries penalty but open to significant improvement in this sphere.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.