IE - Leopardstown - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

7.1f

Maiden

Turf

Soft

25.5K

VIEW

Verdict

IBELIEVEICANFLY, who has the services of the indomitable Ryan Moore, is taken to continue Ballydoyle’s strong recent record in this maiden, with her similarly well-bred stablemate Alpha and fellow newcomer Alpine Wedding looking the chief threats.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Sixth foal: closely related to smart winner up to 10.7f Piz Badile (2-y-o 1m winner, by Ulysses) and half-sister to smart 6f/7f winner Yosemite Valley (by Shamardal): dam useful French 9f-10.5f winner out of high-class 8.5f-10.5f winner Shiva. Yard has 25% strike rate with 2-y-o debutants this year. 1st Pick 7 Ibelieveicanfly (Usa) Jockey: Ryan Moore Trainer: Aidan O'brien, Ireland J: Ryan Moore T: Aidan O'brien, Ireland	100	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Sixth foal: closely related to smart winner up to 10.7f Piz Badile (2-y-o 1m winner, by Ulysses) and half-sister to smart 6f/7f winner Yosemite Valley (by Shamardal): dam useful French 9f-10.5f winner out of high-class 8.5f-10.5f winner Shiva. Yard has 25% strike rate with 2-y-o debutants this year.
1	Half-sister to useful 1¼m-1¾m winner Saturn (by Galileo) and 7.5f winner Proxima Centauri (by Circus Maximus): dam, winner up to 1m (Irish 1000 Guineas, and 2-y-o 6f winner), half-sister to high-class winner up to 1m (Coronation Stakes, and stayed 1¼m) Alpine Star. Yard have won last 3 renewals. 2nd Pick 1 Alpha (Ire) Jockey: W. M. Lordan Trainer: Aidan O'brien, Ireland J: W. M. Lordan T: Aidan O'brien, Ireland	98	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Half-sister to useful 1¼m-1¾m winner Saturn (by Galileo) and 7.5f winner Proxima Centauri (by Circus Maximus): dam, winner up to 1m (Irish 1000 Guineas, and 2-y-o 6f winner), half-sister to high-class winner up to 1m (Coronation Stakes, and stayed 1¼m) Alpine Star. Yard have won last 3 renewals.
2	€115,000F, €220,000Y: fifth foal: sister to 2-y-o 6.5f/7f winner Sydneyarms Chelsea and half-sister to 6f winner Bucklow Hill (by Cotai Glory): dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Bred to be sharp. 3rd Pick 2 Alpine Wedding (Ire) Jockey: William James Lee Trainer: P. Twomey, Ireland J: William James Lee T: P. Twomey, Ireland	96	-	-	-	17%
Analysis €115,000F, €220,000Y: fifth foal: sister to 2-y-o 6.5f/7f winner Sydneyarms Chelsea and half-sister to 6f winner Bucklow Hill (by Cotai Glory): dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Bred to be sharp.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.