AU - Caulfield Heath - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

38.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Leaning to MRS IGLESIA (12) who presents third up. She tried hard last start at Cranbourne over 4 ¾f behind Gentle Steel, who has since won in good company on Saturday. She should be peaking now and is good enough to take this out. JENNYANYDOTS (2) wasn't far away here last start in a competitive race having placed first up. Back to 5f suits and she'll be flashing late. TIZ WORTHY (7) dashed best in a slowly run race at Pakenham last time to score as favourite. She'll drift back but can certainly win again if the race shape works out. DON'T RUSSIA (8) is racing consistently and has each-way claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Third-up today. First-up from last on the turn 5th of 8 at this track F&M Bm66 on February 9 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Gentle Steel with 130lbs at $21. Last start 2nd of 9 at Cranbourne Bm70 on February 27 over 4 ¾f, head behind Gentle Steel carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Finds the right race and has the peaks to win. 1st Pick 12 Mrs Iglesia Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jackson Radley T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	158	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up from last on the turn 5th of 8 at this track F&M Bm66 on February 9 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Gentle Steel with 130lbs at $21. Last start 2nd of 9 at Cranbourne Bm70 on February 27 over 4 ¾f, head behind Gentle Steel carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Finds the right race and has the peaks to win.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 7 at Cranbourne F&M Bm70 on January 30 over 4 ¾f, 2 len behind Sharing Moments carrying 131lbs at $3.70. Second-up 6th of 9 at this track Bm74 on March 4 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Nimbustwothousand carrying 127lbs at $10. Through a handy race and can improve. 2nd Pick 2 Jennyanydots Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Mitchell Freedman J: John Allen T: Mitchell Freedman	116	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 7 at Cranbourne F&M Bm70 on January 30 over 4 ¾f, 2 len behind Sharing Moments carrying 131lbs at $3.70. Second-up 6th of 9 at this track Bm74 on March 4 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Nimbustwothousand carrying 127lbs at $10. Through a handy race and can improve.
6	Comes off a 46 day let-up. Most recently got back early 5th of 9 at Caulfield Bm70 on January 31 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Castellar with 127lbs at $5.50. Before that won by a nose at Seymour Bm62 January 15 over 5 ½f defeating Bold Response carrying 132lbs at $2.60. Well-placed to make amends. 3rd Pick 6 Rhia Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Non Runner T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	128	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Comes off a 46 day let-up. Most recently got back early 5th of 9 at Caulfield Bm70 on January 31 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Castellar with 127lbs at $5.50. Before that won by a nose at Seymour Bm62 January 15 over 5 ½f defeating Bold Response carrying 132lbs at $2.60. Well-placed to make amends.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

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A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.