AU - Caulfield Heath - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

35.9K

VIEW

Verdict

IN'KANTOSSTAR (8) is clearly the one to beat and the early betting reflects that. Two starts this time in have resulted in two very soft wins, sent out $1.24 first up and doing it easily before beating Yauson at Geelong who was heavily backed and bolted in next start. Up to 7 ½f looks ideal and he draws perfectly - only bad luck beats him. BARKING MAD (7) didn't fire last time at Randwick in a strong race. His form prior in Sydney was rock solid and must respect Waller switching states. PRINCEOFNOTTINGHAM (2) has won two of his past three for the Michelle Payne yard, off a freshen here and away from his favoured synthetic but he'll get a dry track and is racing very well. KATSUMI OROCHI (9) was okay first up behind the favourite and can improve on drier ground. THE BENCHMARK (11) struggled last time but is in the minor mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Third-up today. Resuming favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 2.75 len in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat Synthetic on August 11 over 6f defeating Roll On Big Red carrying 131lbs at $1.24. Last start favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.75 len in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 28 over 6 ¾f on a soft track defeating Yauson carrying 132lbs at $2.15. Progressive gelding who will take a power of beating again. 1st Pick 8 In'kantosstar Jockey: Ethan Brown Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Ethan Brown T: Ciaron Maher	165	-	-	-	58%	8/11
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 2.75 len in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat Synthetic on August 11 over 6f defeating Roll On Big Red carrying 131lbs at $1.24. Last start favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.75 len in a Bm62 at Geelong on August 28 over 6 ¾f on a soft track defeating Yauson carrying 132lbs at $2.15. Progressive gelding who will take a power of beating again.
7	Most recently 8th of 12 in a Bm78 at Randwick on August 22 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind King Of The Sea carrying 121lbs at $14. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 in a Bm72 at Canterbury on August 12 over 7 ¾f, slow going 1.75 len behind Federal Reserve carrying 130lbs at $2. Can bounce back in this suitable race. 2nd Pick 7 Barking Mad Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Chris Waller J: Beau Mertens T: Chris Waller	175	-	-	-	10%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently 8th of 12 in a Bm78 at Randwick on August 22 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind King Of The Sea carrying 121lbs at $14. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 in a Bm72 at Canterbury on August 12 over 7 ¾f, slow going 1.75 len behind Federal Reserve carrying 130lbs at $2. Can bounce back in this suitable race.
2	Comes here off a 36-day let-up. Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 2 len in a Bm62 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 11 over 7 ½f defeating Takemetothemoon carrying 139lbs at $1.70. The run before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 12 in a Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on July 15 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Komito with 129lbs at $14. Have to respect again. 3rd Pick 2 Princeofnottingham Jockey: Nadia Daniels Trainer: Michelle Payne J: Nadia Daniels T: Michelle Payne	133	-	-	-	3%	Scratched
Analysis Comes here off a 36-day let-up. Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 2 len in a Bm62 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 11 over 7 ½f defeating Takemetothemoon carrying 139lbs at $1.70. The run before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 12 in a Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on July 15 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Komito with 129lbs at $14. Have to respect again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.