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4:20 AM

AU - Caulfield Heath - Race 3

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
39.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VALAROSO (9) resumes having run a good race on debut in The Showdown at Caulfield, a $1 million race behind Big Wigs where they set up a strong speed. Better for that and has won a trial leading in, he should take plenty of beating. INNER GOLD (3) was okay fresh in a strong maiden behind Somethings Burnin' who was well backed on Saturday. Fitter now and should be an improver. Wary of CAB FRANC (1) who is a colt by Frankel for the Maher yard. Out of a G1 winner from New Zealand and has jumped out well enough. LOMU (4) just found one better first up at Mornington in a good effort and showed ability last time in. Up in trip suits better and will take holding out. SOUND SYSTEM (8) can run well fresh.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Valaroso silk

Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when 5th of 12 in a The Showdown at Caulfield on March 14 over 6f, 7 len behind Big Wigs with 128lbs at $26. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Suited this level, rates well.

1st Pick
9

Valaroso

Jockey: Logan Bates

Trainer: Cindy Alderson

J: Logan Bates

T: Cindy Alderson

110---40%6/4

Analysis

Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when 5th of 12 in a The Showdown at Caulfield on March 14 over 6f, 7 len behind Big Wigs with 128lbs at $26. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Suited this level, rates well.

3
Inner Gold silk

Second run back. First-up after five months 6th of 8 in a 3yo C&G Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Lakeside on August 19 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Somethings Burnin' carrying 128lbs at $12. Previously second-up 7th of 10 in the G2 VRC Sires' Produce Stakes at Flemington on March 7 over 7f, 6 len behind Grinzinger Heart carrying 126lbs at $21. Well placed here, big chance.

2nd Pick
3

Inner Gold

Jockey: Mark Zahra

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Mark Zahra

T: Ciaron Maher

195---25%3/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months 6th of 8 in a 3yo C&G Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Lakeside on August 19 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Somethings Burnin' carrying 128lbs at $12. Previously second-up 7th of 10 in the G2 VRC Sires' Produce Stakes at Flemington on March 7 over 7f, 6 len behind Grinzinger Heart carrying 126lbs at $21. Well placed here, big chance.

1
Cab Franc silk

Three-year-old colt by leading sire Frankel out of Loire. He has eight recent trials leading in today's debut. Was runner-up in a jump-out at Cranbourne on August 31. Wary, should run well.

3rd Pick
1

Cab Franc

Jockey: Ethan Brown

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Ethan Brown

T: Ciaron Maher

115---15%6/1

Analysis

Three-year-old colt by leading sire Frankel out of Loire. He has eight recent trials leading in today's debut. Was runner-up in a jump-out at Cranbourne on August 31. Wary, should run well.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.