AU - Caulfield Heath - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

35.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough mare's race. NAINA (1) looks ready to win coming back in grade. She was a surprise winner fresh but has been good since, beaten under a length in a BM78 last time out. Comes back a notch now and will be hard to hold out. LAKE VOSTOK (2) was well backed last time at Bendigo but just battled to the line. Back to own sex here, her best is absolutely good enough. ALL BUSINESS (4) comes through the same race as Naina without much luck in a messy race. The effort two back reads well and she can improve. KIWI JENNI (8) is back slightly in trip but will be strong late. PREVENTION (7) is still relatively lightly raced and should take some catching.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 7th of 11 in a Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on July 22 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Jenni Multabella with 130lbs at $17. Second-up 4th of 12 in a F&M Bm78 at Caulfield on August 29 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Puglia carrying 125lbs at $21. Well placed here, go close. 1st Pick 1 Naina Jockey: Logan Bates Trainer: Chris Waller J: Logan Bates T: Chris Waller	128	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 7th of 11 in a Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on July 22 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Jenni Multabella with 130lbs at $17. Second-up 4th of 12 in a F&M Bm78 at Caulfield on August 29 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Puglia carrying 125lbs at $21. Well placed here, go close.
2	Last start 4th of 7 in a Bm70 at Bendigo on August 26 over 1m, on heavy track, 5.5 len behind Zebra Finch with 128lbs at $2.90. The run before that 7th of 11 in a F&M Bm74 at this track on August 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Davida with 130lbs at $9. Can improve again. In the right race now. 2nd Pick 2 Lake Vostok Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Luke Oliver J: Billy Egan T: Luke Oliver	139	-	-	-	15%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 4th of 7 in a Bm70 at Bendigo on August 26 over 1m, on heavy track, 5.5 len behind Zebra Finch with 128lbs at $2.90. The run before that 7th of 11 in a F&M Bm74 at this track on August 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Davida with 130lbs at $9. Can improve again. In the right race now.
4	Most recently 10th of 12 in a F&M Bm78 at Caulfield on August 29 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Puglia with 114lbs at $21. Before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 in a F&M Bm78 at Caulfield on August 15 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Recuperato with 112lbs at $31. Can bounce back. 3rd Pick 4 All Business Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Ben Allen T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	183	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Most recently 10th of 12 in a F&M Bm78 at Caulfield on August 29 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Puglia with 114lbs at $21. Before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 in a F&M Bm78 at Caulfield on August 15 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Recuperato with 112lbs at $31. Can bounce back.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.