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Resulted

AU - Albany - Race 5

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
16.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BEAUMONT MISS (7) has the most appealing recent profile, having followed a Geraldton Mdn win over Black Irish with a sound third in a CL1 at Belmont, beaten just under three lengths. She comes back from mid-week company to an easier assignment and is the one to beat. HEY TRUE BLUE (3) is the clear danger: his Ascot sixth in 1MW company reads better with the steadied-at-5f note, and his earlier Kalgoorlie fourth in CL2 grade was close enough to keep him right in this. WARRALEA LASS (1) was plain in BM66+ grade at Belmont, but her previous third at that level, proven track-and-trip credentials and recent Albany trial keep her in calculations despite the top weight. BONDI EXPRESS (5) can fire a shot first-up with two trials under his belt.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Beaumont Miss silk

Comes off a solid third in a Class 1 at Belmont, beaten just under three lengths, and now finds an easier assignment after tackling mid-week company. That followed a Geraldton Mdn win where she beat Black Irish by a head and showed the right turn of foot late. Finds the right race to convert.

1st Pick
7

Beaumont Miss

Jockey: Natasha Faithfull

Trainer: Misty Bazeley

J: Natasha Faithfull

T: Misty Bazeley

124---15%

Analysis

Comes off a solid third in a Class 1 at Belmont, beaten just under three lengths, and now finds an easier assignment after tackling mid-week company. That followed a Geraldton Mdn win where she beat Black Irish by a head and showed the right turn of foot late. Finds the right race to convert.

3
Hey True Blue silk

Had genuine excuse value in a 1 Metro Win at Ascot, where he was steadied approaching the 5f before finishing sixth, beaten just over three lengths. He had earlier run fourth in a Class 2 at Kalgoorlie, beaten just under two lengths, so the recent form is stronger than the numbers suggest. Back to a track-and-trip win setup with the winning rider returning, he looks a major chance.

2nd Pick
3

Hey True Blue

Jockey: Troy Turner

Trainer: Steve Wolfe

J: Troy Turner

T: Steve Wolfe

130---36%

Analysis

Had genuine excuse value in a 1 Metro Win at Ascot, where he was steadied approaching the 5f before finishing sixth, beaten just over three lengths. He had earlier run fourth in a Class 2 at Kalgoorlie, beaten just under two lengths, so the recent form is stronger than the numbers suggest. Back to a track-and-trip win setup with the winning rider returning, he looks a major chance.

6
Apparatus silk

Finished fifth first-up in a BM44+ at York, beaten four and a half lengths, after beginning slowly and giving himself work to do before closing off. This is a stronger grade, but he drops sharply from 133lbs to 119lbs and has handled wet ground well enough to suit the soft track. Weight relief and wet-track form give him a sound each-way platform.

3rd Pick
6

Apparatus

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Dylan Bairstow

J: Non Runner

T: Dylan Bairstow

110---13%

Scratched

Analysis

Finished fifth first-up in a BM44+ at York, beaten four and a half lengths, after beginning slowly and giving himself work to do before closing off. This is a stronger grade, but he drops sharply from 133lbs to 119lbs and has handled wet ground well enough to suit the soft track. Weight relief and wet-track form give him a sound each-way platform.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.