AU - York - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

9.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

11.8K

VIEW

Verdict

Tricky race. GILDED REIGN (1) gets the nod following a fourth at Bunbury two runs back and a last-start seventh beaten three and a half lengths. The 1 ³/16m is new territory and he carries the top weight, but this is easier and he has the upside to raise the bar out in trip. Can knock over the maiden. GOING HARD (8) is harder to trust, though he is among friends in this assignment. He's race fit at the journey and draws the inside for Lyon, who is in good form. Finds the right race to feature in the finish. CRAZY CARROT (5) has been unwanted in betting and remains a long-standing maiden, but this is a softer set-up and she can work into the placings if she sharpens. ROCK THE MIC (2) was plain over 1 ¼m last start, though his earlier Bunbury run had more merit and the 7lbs claim helps him hold a minor-winning hope. KINGSLEY TOWN (6) is next best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Comes back from provincial company after finishing seventh at Bunbury over 7f, beaten three and a half lengths after racing keenly and failing to quicken. His previous fourth there was sounder, beaten two lengths despite covering ground throughout. New trip is the query, but he gets his chance. 1st Pick 1 Gilded Reign Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Darren Mcauliffe J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Darren Mcauliffe	151	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Comes back from provincial company after finishing seventh at Bunbury over 7f, beaten three and a half lengths after racing keenly and failing to quicken. His previous fourth there was sounder, beaten two lengths despite covering ground throughout. New trip is the query, but he gets his chance.
8	Must rebound from a heavy Bunbury defeat after finishing last over 1 ¼m, beaten over 19 lengths at long odds with no clear excuse. His Northam run before that was more respectable, beaten three and a half lengths after being slow away. Class drop and gear change give him a genuine turnaround chance. 2nd Pick 8 Going Hard Jockey: Jason Lyon Trainer: Michael Miller J: Jason Lyon T: Michael Miller	125	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Must rebound from a heavy Bunbury defeat after finishing last over 1 ¼m, beaten over 19 lengths at long odds with no clear excuse. His Northam run before that was more respectable, beaten three and a half lengths after being slow away. Class drop and gear change give him a genuine turnaround chance.
5	Began awkwardly and offered little when eighth at Bunbury last start, beaten just under seven lengths after being unwanted in the market. In the mix. 3rd Pick 5 Crazy Carrot Jockey: Troy Turner Trainer: Raquel Reid J: Troy Turner T: Raquel Reid	97	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Began awkwardly and offered little when eighth at Bunbury last start, beaten just under seven lengths after being unwanted in the market. In the mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.