AU - Wyong - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

10.4f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

29.5K

VIEW

Verdict

CAN'T RECALL ONE (2) brings the strongest winning profile after being held up at Newcastle and still closing to within half a length in a BM72 over 1 ³/16m. He has already won around this trip, drops into BM64 grade and looks well placed to find winning form with Zac Lloyd engaged. SERPICO (4) has a good record at this course and finds an easier contest after finishing eleventh over 1 ?m at Randwick in BM72 class. Well drawn today and gets his chance to bounce back in the small field. DOLCE DIOR (3) has been plain at her past two in BM72 grade, yet the easier assignment, proven 1 5/16m record and return to a more suitable set-up keep her in the place mix if she finds her earlier form. Key jockey helps. SATONO'S SHOUT (7) stretches out to this trip for the first time after struggling on the rain affected track when fifth over 1 ¼m at Hawkesbury. Claim helps and look for a better performance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Went close in a Newcastle BM72 over 1 ³/16m last start, held up from the 2f to past the 1 ¼f before hitting the line to be beaten half a length by Sumac. He had excuses when second last at Illawarra Grange the run prior after beginning slowly and being tightened. Proven at the trip, down to BM64 and profiles as the one to beat. 1st Pick 2 Can't Recall One Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Zac Lloyd T: Matthew Smith	189	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Went close in a Newcastle BM72 over 1 ³/16m last start, held up from the 2f to past the 1 ¼f before hitting the line to be beaten half a length by Sumac. He had excuses when second last at Illawarra Grange the run prior after beginning slowly and being tightened. Proven at the trip, down to BM64 and profiles as the one to beat.
1	Comes off a ninth in the Port Macquarie Quality, beaten just over four lengths after settling well back and keeping on without threatening. His Canterbury third in a BM72 behind Doradus two back reads better, when he charged home from the rear and was beaten a length and a half. The 1 5/16m win record is the query, but this BM64 looks within reach. 2nd Pick 1 Fioprospero Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Non Runner T: Matthew Smith	165	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Comes off a ninth in the Port Macquarie Quality, beaten just over four lengths after settling well back and keeping on without threatening. His Canterbury third in a BM72 behind Doradus two back reads better, when he charged home from the rear and was beaten a length and a half. The 1 5/16m win record is the query, but this BM64 looks within reach.
5	Finished last of six in a Class 1 at Kembla Grange over 1m, beaten three and a half lengths after making an initial move but finding little late. He had been held up before working home fairly for fourth in a Class 1 at Newcastle. First look at 1 5/16m is the question, but he can run into a placing. 3rd Pick 5 Don's Party Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Paul & Martha Cave J: Non Runner T: Paul & Martha Cave	108	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Finished last of six in a Class 1 at Kembla Grange over 1m, beaten three and a half lengths after making an initial move but finding little late. He had been held up before working home fairly for fourth in a Class 1 at Newcastle. First look at 1 5/16m is the question, but he can run into a placing.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.