AU - Wellington - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

4.5f

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

18.7K

VIEW

Verdict

BRUMMAGEN (3) three weeks between runs when hunted out from the awkward draw before folding up in the straight with a poor ninth over 5f at Dubbo. Gets a more economical run here and assess on his good recent performances. Expected to bounce back. DENMAN BANDIT (4) improving gelding fitter after two runs back. Indicated a win was imminent with a close-up fourth over 5f at Dubbo on March 6. Kept fresh and won well over this track and trip on debut. Shapes as the main danger. SWEDISH GLITTER (7) speedy filly holding her form in weaker grade. Nailed late after going out quickly with a narrow second over 5f at Warren in BM50 class. Minor place chance. ZAIBATSU (13) deep into the campaign and he gets a much better set-up today. Covered a stack of ground in the run with fading eighth over 6f at Warren. Value player not to be underestimated.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Comes off a 35 day let-up. At the latest run raced on the pace before fading 9th of 12 at Dubbo Cl1 on March 6 over 5f, 5 len behind Bolo Miss with 125lbs at $11. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Orange Bm50 on February 14 over 5f, neck behind Itszarbaby carrying 134lbs at $2.60. Strong chance to break through from the good gate. 1st Pick 3 Brummagen Jockey: Izzy Neale Trainer: Brett Thompson J: Izzy Neale T: Brett Thompson	108	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Comes off a 35 day let-up. At the latest run raced on the pace before fading 9th of 12 at Dubbo Cl1 on March 6 over 5f, 5 len behind Bolo Miss with 125lbs at $11. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Orange Bm50 on February 14 over 5f, neck behind Itszarbaby carrying 134lbs at $2.60. Strong chance to break through from the good gate.
4	Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 12 at Dubbo Cl1 on February 15 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Blue De Beers carrying 127lbs at $12. Last start 4th of 12 at Dubbo Cl1 on March 6 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Bolo Miss carrying 128lbs at $3.90. Capable of a better showing. Maps well and ready to win. 2nd Pick 4 Denman Bandit Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes Trainer: Brett Thompson J: Jake Pracey-Holmes T: Brett Thompson	105	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 12 at Dubbo Cl1 on February 15 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Blue De Beers carrying 127lbs at $12. Last start 4th of 12 at Dubbo Cl1 on March 6 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Bolo Miss carrying 128lbs at $3.90. Capable of a better showing. Maps well and ready to win.
7	Racing well recently. Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 at Warren Bm50 on March 21 over 5f, neck behind Press Gaze carrying 130lbs at $5.50. Before that won by 3 len at Tottenham Pic Cl3t March 7 over 4f defeating Box Of Crackers carrying 141lbs at $3.60. Key runner with genuine claims. 3rd Pick 7 Swedish Glitter Jockey: Zoe Hunt Trainer: Clint Lundholm J: Zoe Hunt T: Clint Lundholm	121	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 at Warren Bm50 on March 21 over 5f, neck behind Press Gaze carrying 130lbs at $5.50. Before that won by 3 len at Tottenham Pic Cl3t March 7 over 4f defeating Box Of Crackers carrying 141lbs at $3.60. Key runner with genuine claims.

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