AU - Wellington - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

Good contest. KRANICH (4) has been knocking on the door all campaign. Has hit the line strongly in his last two after getting a long way back from wide gates. Draws to settle closer this time, and if he lets down with the same turn of foot, he will prove very tough to hold out. OLLIE'S SECRET (3) pushed forward and proved too tough for them over this trip at Mudgee last time. This isn't much tougher so if he holds his form he will be right there again. LOCKDOWN GAMBLE (1) returns and is a noted fresh performer. Has trialled sharply in readiness and all signs point towards a bold return, though he does have the big weight to carry. MOUNTAIN TOP (2) is on the quick back up after sitting on the pace and boxing on well to finish third at Parkes nine days ago. Good effort last start and she should be at her top now. Gets her chance to break a long run of outs.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 16 at Scone Countrycup on May 15 over 7f, 2 len behind Shotgun Bella carrying 121lbs at $13. The race before that 4th of 13 at Dubbo Bm82 on May 3 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind Wave Breaker carrying 129lbs at $4.20. Busting to break through. 1st Pick 4 Kranich Jockey: Grant Buckley Trainer: Michael Mulholland J: Grant Buckley T: Michael Mulholland	197	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 16 at Scone Countrycup on May 15 over 7f, 2 len behind Shotgun Bella carrying 121lbs at $13. The race before that 4th of 13 at Dubbo Bm82 on May 3 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind Wave Breaker carrying 129lbs at $4.20. Busting to break through.
3	Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len at Mudgee Bm82 May 10 over 7f defeating Red Beryl carrying 125lbs at $2.80. The start before that 5th of 11 at Tamworth Open on April 24 over 6f, 3 len behind Pride To Follow carrying 121lbs at $21. Draws well and another big run is in store. 2nd Pick 3 Ollie's Secret Jockey: Mikayla Weir Trainer: Jan Bowen J: Mikayla Weir T: Jan Bowen	157	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len at Mudgee Bm82 May 10 over 7f defeating Red Beryl carrying 125lbs at $2.80. The start before that 5th of 11 at Tamworth Open on April 24 over 6f, 3 len behind Pride To Follow carrying 121lbs at $21. Draws well and another big run is in store.
1	Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 8 at Coonabarabran C'bran Cup B88 October 26 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Who Ever Thought carrying 132lbs at $3.30. Previous preparation first-up won by neck Mudgee Bm82 May 11 2025 over 7f defeating Stratified with 139lbs at $5. Can make a bright start, even with the big weight. 3rd Pick 1 Lockdown Gamble Jockey: Kody Nestor Trainer: David J Smith J: Kody Nestor T: David J Smith	91	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 8 at Coonabarabran C'bran Cup B88 October 26 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Who Ever Thought carrying 132lbs at $3.30. Previous preparation first-up won by neck Mudgee Bm82 May 11 2025 over 7f defeating Stratified with 139lbs at $5. Can make a bright start, even with the big weight.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.