AU - Wellington - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

20.4K

VIEW

Verdict

WOOLLEN (8) will get back into the field no matter how small it is but then can find the line. She is back a furlong for this but gets a more experienced rider aboard. She did take on Class 1 company two weeks ago so this seems much easier. It is pretty thin. SPECTACULAR STAR (2) finally gets the blinkers on which could make a big difference. This looks the right trip too. POLENS (6) has had quite a few goes around and not placed too many times. At least will save all the ground here. ZOYSIA (3) has taken on some richer maidens recently. Did sit a lot closer in running last outing. CHRISLYN (5) can be quite inconsistent. Fitness will not be an issue for her. Just has to finish one of these races off.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Last start got back early 8th of 14 in a Cl1-Sw at Dubbo on October 31 over 1m, 6 len behind Smart Scud carrying 121lbs at $5. The race before that 3rd of 7 in a Mdn at Orange on October 19 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Alideel carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Terrific chance to return to form. 1st Pick 8 Woollen Jockey: Molly Bourke Trainer: Garry Lunn J: Molly Bourke T: Garry Lunn	178	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Last start got back early 8th of 14 in a Cl1-Sw at Dubbo on October 31 over 1m, 6 len behind Smart Scud carrying 121lbs at $5. The race before that 3rd of 7 in a Mdn at Orange on October 19 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Alideel carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Terrific chance to return to form.
2	Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Dubbo on November 3 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Zous Apollo carrying 127lbs at $6. The start before that 2nd in a small field in a Cl1-Sw at Mendooran on September 5 over 7 ½f, 0.8 len behind Surpasser with 125lbs at $17. Progressing well. Racing well and can break through this time. 2nd Pick 2 Spectacular Star Jockey: Jacob Stiff Trainer: Brett Thompson J: Jacob Stiff T: Brett Thompson	91	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Dubbo on November 3 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Zous Apollo carrying 127lbs at $6. The start before that 2nd in a small field in a Cl1-Sw at Mendooran on September 5 over 7 ½f, 0.8 len behind Surpasser with 125lbs at $17. Progressing well. Racing well and can break through this time.
6	Most recently ran last in a small field in a Mdn-Sw at Mudgee on October 24 over 7f, 5 len behind Lost Flowers carrying 126lbs at $5. Before that ran last of 7 in a Mdn at Forbes on October 10 over 7f, 4 len behind Devil's Reach with 123lbs at $5. Key runner in this line-up and expected to feature if finds best form. 3rd Pick 6 Polens Jockey: Jordan Quince Trainer: Barry Wall J: Jordan Quince T: Barry Wall	102	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Most recently ran last in a small field in a Mdn-Sw at Mudgee on October 24 over 7f, 5 len behind Lost Flowers carrying 126lbs at $5. Before that ran last of 7 in a Mdn at Forbes on October 10 over 7f, 4 len behind Devil's Reach with 123lbs at $5. Key runner in this line-up and expected to feature if finds best form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.