AU - Wellington - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

4.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

20.8K

VIEW

Verdict

KNEEL DOWN (11) put the writing on the wall last start with a tough on-pace third over 6 ½f at Orange. Drawn the inside gate for this and can finally shed his Maiden tag at start fifteen. TERRITORY STYLE (2) resumes after having mixed success in his first campaign. Dropped in trip with a fading fourth over 5f at Scone last November. Back without a trial and expected to go close. YASENA (5) lightly raced mare resuming after running a string of minor placings last prep. Finished a narrow second over this track and trip last November. Fitted with the one trial and not without top-three claims. BLAZING COURAGE (8) started hard in the market on debut with a fading sixth over 5 ½f at Dubbo in a much stronger contest. Pulled up with a slow recovery rate on debut and deserves another chance with the claim.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Recent form sound. Last start gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 8 at Orange Ctry Mdn on March 22 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Allusive Intent carrying 121lbs at $21. The run before that got back early 3rd in a small field at Cowra Mdn-Sw on March 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Nafanua with 127lbs at $41. Finds his race today from the low draw. 1st Pick 11 Kneel Down Jockey: Pierre Boudvillain Trainer: Dennis Bush J: Pierre Boudvillain T: Dennis Bush	173	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 8 at Orange Ctry Mdn on March 22 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Allusive Intent carrying 121lbs at $21. The run before that got back early 3rd in a small field at Cowra Mdn-Sw on March 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Nafanua with 127lbs at $41. Finds his race today from the low draw.
2	Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 9 at Scone Ctry Mdn November 18 over 5f, 3 len behind Truce carrying 130lbs at $2.10. On debut fourth of 10 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw September 28 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Jagerschnitzel with 130lbs at $5. Resumes after showing ability in the first campaign. 2nd Pick 2 Territory Style Jockey: Kody Nestor Trainer: Kody Nestor J: Kody Nestor T: Kody Nestor	99	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 9 at Scone Ctry Mdn November 18 over 5f, 3 len behind Truce carrying 130lbs at $2.10. On debut fourth of 10 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw September 28 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Jagerschnitzel with 130lbs at $5. Resumes after showing ability in the first campaign.
5	Resuming after a spell of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign fifth of 10 at Tamworth Ctry Mdn-Sw December 22 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Dub carrying 126lbs at $13. When resuming last campaign seventh of 13 at Scone Mdn-Sw September 26 over 4 ½f, 5.5 len behind Thrilling Venture carrying 126lbs at $10. Can bring the good form from the last campaign to this contest. 3rd Pick 5 Yasena Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes Trainer: John Ramsey J: Jake Pracey-Holmes T: John Ramsey	128	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Resuming after a spell of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign fifth of 10 at Tamworth Ctry Mdn-Sw December 22 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Dub carrying 126lbs at $13. When resuming last campaign seventh of 13 at Scone Mdn-Sw September 26 over 4 ½f, 5.5 len behind Thrilling Venture carrying 126lbs at $10. Can bring the good form from the last campaign to this contest.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

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A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.