AU - Wellington - Race 4

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

LITLFELA (4) finds the maiden win elusive but does strike a thin contest this time. Was safely held at big odds last time at Parkes in what was a stronger maiden. Better suited this time and draws to get all the favours from the inside. Gets a good chance to finally get off the mark. ABATED BREATH (1) stuck on soundly into fourth when resuming at Parkes last time. Is sure to have come on from that and can play a more significant role on the quick back-up out to 7f. RAYGUN ROCKS (11) never really looked likely last start after getting a long way back but was much better the start prior when chasing gamely into the placings at Narromine. Peaking now and is worth another go. PLUCK 'N' SPY (6) has been much better in his last two and is desperate to break through soon. Drawn sticky but can measure up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Most recently sat on the speed throughout before fading 9th of 14 at Parkes Super Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Graynita carrying 127lbs at $101. The start before that 7th of 12 at Dubbo Mdn on May 3 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Inyun carrying 122lbs at $4.40. Great chance to atone. 1st Pick 4 Litlfela Jockey: Mikayla Weir Trainer: Connie Greig J: Mikayla Weir T: Connie Greig	108	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Most recently sat on the speed throughout before fading 9th of 14 at Parkes Super Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Graynita carrying 127lbs at $101. The start before that 7th of 12 at Dubbo Mdn on May 3 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Inyun carrying 122lbs at $4.40. Great chance to atone.
1	Second run back. First-up after six months 4th of 8 at Parkes Ctry Mdn on May 17 over 5f, 6 len behind Heaps Of Notice with 123lbs at $11. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Muswellbrook Mdn on October 6 over 6f, 4 len behind Varuni carrying 121lbs at $20. Fitter and is one of the key chances. 2nd Pick 1 Abated Breath Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Brett Thompson J: Unknown Jockey T: Brett Thompson	81	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months 4th of 8 at Parkes Ctry Mdn on May 17 over 5f, 6 len behind Heaps Of Notice with 123lbs at $11. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Muswellbrook Mdn on October 6 over 6f, 4 len behind Varuni carrying 121lbs at $20. Fitter and is one of the key chances.
11	At the latest run second last of 14 at Parkes Super Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 7f, 8 len behind Graynita with 126lbs at $101. The race before that eased back early on 3rd in a small field at Narromine F&M Mdn-Sw on April 26 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Rubelin with 127lbs at $21. Winning chance if at her best. 3rd Pick 11 Raygun Rocks Jockey: Liam Blanch Trainer: Todd Smith J: Liam Blanch T: Todd Smith	82	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis At the latest run second last of 14 at Parkes Super Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 7f, 8 len behind Graynita with 126lbs at $101. The race before that eased back early on 3rd in a small field at Narromine F&M Mdn-Sw on April 26 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Rubelin with 127lbs at $21. Winning chance if at her best.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.