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4:25 AM

AU - Wellington - Race 3

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
4.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
19.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SIMPLY SONNET (11) returned from a spell three-and-a-half weeks ago when she was ridden conservatively near the rear before finishing sixth over the 4 ½f burner at Newcastle. Much better placed here and can improve sharply. AERIALIZE (7) missed the placings first up recently but was not too far from the winner when fourth over 4f at Narromine. Has good early toe so she should be handy in the run. BLIND SQUIRREL (1) hasn't raced for over a year but has trialled sharply leading into this and draws the A1. May need the run but deserves consideration, especially if there's market support. IT'S OUR TURN (6) produced a fair effort on debut last time at Narromine over 4f and should've come on from the experience.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Simply Sonnet silk

Second run back. First-up after four months 6th of 8 in a Mid Mdn-Sw at Newcastle on August 22 over 4 ½f, 4 len behind Karkadaan with 117lbs at $71. Previously second-up ran second last of 7 in a Rom Dream at Tamworth on April 24 over 5f, 8 len behind What A Scandal with 121lbs at $41. Rates highly and is among the leading hopes.

1st Pick
11

Simply Sonnet

Jockey: Jack Baker

Trainer: Damien Lane

J: Jack Baker

T: Damien Lane

143---8%12/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months 6th of 8 in a Mid Mdn-Sw at Newcastle on August 22 over 4 ½f, 4 len behind Karkadaan with 117lbs at $71. Previously second-up ran second last of 7 in a Rom Dream at Tamworth on April 24 over 5f, 8 len behind What A Scandal with 121lbs at $41. Rates highly and is among the leading hopes.

7
Aerialize silk

Third race start. First start raced on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 8 in a 2yo Hcp at Wagga on March 12 over 5f, 5 len behind Just Force carrying 121lbs at $3.10. Returned from break 4th of 10 in a Mdn Hcp at Narromine on August 23 over 4f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Badgers Bridge carrying 121lbs at $7. Will come on from that run and a bold showing is expected.

2nd Pick
7

Aerialize

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Allan Mcrae

J: Non Runner

T: Allan Mcrae

179---20%4/1

Analysis

Third race start. First start raced on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 8 in a 2yo Hcp at Wagga on March 12 over 5f, 5 len behind Just Force carrying 121lbs at $3.10. Returned from break 4th of 10 in a Mdn Hcp at Narromine on August 23 over 4f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Badgers Bridge carrying 121lbs at $7. Will come on from that run and a bold showing is expected.

1
Blind Squirrel silk

Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when ran last of 8 in a Prov Mdn at Gosford on August 29 2025 over 5f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Bianca Mia with 122lbs at $4.40. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Looks all set for a bright return.

3rd Pick
1

Blind Squirrel

Jockey: Mathew Cahill

Trainer: Gregory Mcfarlane

J: Mathew Cahill

T: Gregory Mcfarlane

65---25%3/1

Analysis

Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when ran last of 8 in a Prov Mdn at Gosford on August 29 2025 over 5f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Bianca Mia with 122lbs at $4.40. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Looks all set for a bright return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.