AU - Wellington - Race 3

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

11.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

27.8K

VIEW

Verdict

WILL TO EXCEL (2) tough old gelding who looks well placed in this contest. Stalked the good tempo with a game third over 1 5/16m at Gosford. Goes well at this trip and expected to go close. BLAZING GURU (3) getting up to her right trip and set to peak fifth-up. Gripped on late with the 132lbs with a respectable fifth over 1 5/16m at Beaumont (Newcastle). Was a month between runs on that occasion and strips fitter for this. TAVIJEWEL (6) mixing his form this prep and gets in light with Quince's 4lbs claim. Anchored with the 128lbs with a plugging sixth over 1 ¼m at Canberra. Maps well and shapes as a top-three player. SHYLOCK (7) sharp improver at the big odds with a slashing second over 1 ¼m at Canberra in BM55 class. Hard to beat in this suitable race.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Most recently 3rd of 7 at Gosford Bm64 on April 2 over 1 5/16m, 2.75 len behind Aussie Nation carrying 121lbs at $31. Before that 5th of 10 at Grafton Bm66 on March 30 over 1m, 5 len behind Fulmen Filou with 126lbs at $31. Working up to a win. Finds a winnable contest despite drawing out. 1st Pick 2 Will To Excel Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes Trainer: James Ponsonby J: Jake Pracey-Holmes T: James Ponsonby	125	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 7 at Gosford Bm64 on April 2 over 1 5/16m, 2.75 len behind Aussie Nation carrying 121lbs at $31. Before that 5th of 10 at Grafton Bm66 on March 30 over 1m, 5 len behind Fulmen Filou with 126lbs at $31. Working up to a win. Finds a winnable contest despite drawing out.
3	Last start 5th of 10 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Bm58 on March 23 over 1 5/16m, slow going 6 len behind Are You Kidding with 132lbs at $7. Before that 6th of 11 at Mudgee Bm58 on February 21 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Toulon Factor carrying 133lbs at $3.60. Close to a win and can bounce back with the 122lbs, respect. 2nd Pick 3 Blazing Guru Jockey: Zac Wadick Trainer: Ross Lomax J: Zac Wadick T: Ross Lomax	167	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 10 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Bm58 on March 23 over 1 5/16m, slow going 6 len behind Are You Kidding with 132lbs at $7. Before that 6th of 11 at Mudgee Bm58 on February 21 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Toulon Factor carrying 133lbs at $3.60. Close to a win and can bounce back with the 122lbs, respect.
6	At the latest run 6th of 13 at Canberra Bm55 on March 25 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4.5 len behind Awesome Artist carrying 128lbs at $14. Before that 5th of 7 at Goulburn Bm58 on March 10 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 6 len behind King Edward with 127lbs at $3.20. Well placed with the claim and due for a change of luck. 3rd Pick 6 Tavijewel Jockey: Jordan Quince Trainer: Barry Wall J: Jordan Quince T: Barry Wall	104	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 13 at Canberra Bm55 on March 25 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4.5 len behind Awesome Artist carrying 128lbs at $14. Before that 5th of 7 at Goulburn Bm58 on March 10 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 6 len behind King Edward with 127lbs at $3.20. Well placed with the claim and due for a change of luck.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.