AU - Wellington - Race 2

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

8.4f

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

18.7K

VIEW

Verdict

DARK THINKER (4) proven at the trip and back in grade for this. Sat on the fast tempo with a tiring fourth over 7f at Orange in record time. Will relish the claim again from the good gate and her lone victory came over the 1 ¹/16m. Well placed. BURNING AMBITION (7) Hawkesbury-trained gelding bursting to get off the mark. Kept finding with the 129lbs for a narrow second over 1 ¹/16m at Grafton. Well placed with the weight drop and shapes as the main danger. THE BENTLEY (3) has been racing well on the Picnic circuit and gives every indication of running a strong 1 ¹/16m. Finished runner-up again with a tough second over 1m at Bourke in the Picnic Cup. Capable of taking a hand in the finish. MAJESTIC ROCA (6) ten-start Maiden who comes out of a Super Maiden with a battling fourth over 1m at Orange. Finds a suitable assignment this time fourth-up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Recent form sound. Most recently crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 14 at Orange Ctry Cl2 on March 22 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Ishikari with 118lbs at $26. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Dubbo Cl1-Sw on March 15 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Lagoon with 121lbs at $3.90. Expected to go very well in this weaker race. 1st Pick 4 Dark Thinker Jockey: Jacob Stiff Trainer: Alison Smith J: Jacob Stiff T: Alison Smith	118	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 14 at Orange Ctry Cl2 on March 22 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Ishikari with 118lbs at $26. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Dubbo Cl1-Sw on March 15 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Lagoon with 121lbs at $3.90. Expected to go very well in this weaker race.
7	Form hard to fault. At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Grafton Mdn-Sw on March 30 over 1 ¹/16m, nose behind Kiss'n Dance carrying 129lbs at $4.20. The race before that 2nd of 8 at Moree Mdn-Sw on March 17 over 7f, neck behind Chasing Quivers carrying 129lbs at $3.50. Has his hoof on the till, go close. 2nd Pick 7 Burning Ambition Jockey: Mathew Cahill Trainer: James Ponsonby J: Mathew Cahill T: James Ponsonby	124	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Grafton Mdn-Sw on March 30 over 1 ¹/16m, nose behind Kiss'n Dance carrying 129lbs at $4.20. The race before that 2nd of 8 at Moree Mdn-Sw on March 17 over 7f, neck behind Chasing Quivers carrying 129lbs at $3.50. Has his hoof on the till, go close.
3	Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd in a small field at Bourke Picnic Cup on April 5 over 1m, 2 len behind Always Fiorente with 144lbs at $2.50. Before that 2nd of 7 at Tullibigeal Pic Cl1t on March 28 over 1m, head behind Sunroe with 154lbs at $2. Up in class and due for a change of luck. 3rd Pick 3 The Bentley Jockey: Izzy Neale Trainer: Connie Greig J: Izzy Neale T: Connie Greig	117	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd in a small field at Bourke Picnic Cup on April 5 over 1m, 2 len behind Always Fiorente with 144lbs at $2.50. Before that 2nd of 7 at Tullibigeal Pic Cl1t on March 28 over 1m, head behind Sunroe with 154lbs at $2. Up in class and due for a change of luck.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.