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3:05 AM

AU - Wellington - Race 2

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
32.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KEVIN (4) missed the start then sliced through the field and hit the lead only to be nailed on the line on debut last start over 5f at Dubbo. Nicely placed over an extra ½f. If he gets away with the field he is going to be tough to stop. CHAPPOLICIOUS (11) has raced on the speed and held on well for a couple of minor placings this time in work, both over 5f. Very fit and shouldn't have any trouble with this slightly longer journey. The pacey JUST JOAN (8) was in the firing line all the way and just missed at out her latest appearance over 5f at Muswellbrook. In career-best form this prep and is capable of a breakthrough win at start 13. POLENS (9) has been freshened up since failing on a heavy track at Narromine eight weeks ago. Has raced 35 times so hard to be confident, but her stats here and at the trip are strong. Each-way. APACHE DREAM (6) did a good job off a two-and-a-half-year spell last start and is open to plenty of improvement.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Kevin silk

At debut, 2nd of 10 at Dubbo Mdn on November 1 over 5f, nose behind Stormy Swey with 130lbs at $7.50. Huge effort last time and is perfectly placed to break through.

1st Pick
4

Kevin

Jockey: Clayton Gallagher

Trainer: Brett Robb

J: Clayton Gallagher

T: Brett Robb

190---31%9/4

Analysis

At debut, 2nd of 10 at Dubbo Mdn on November 1 over 5f, nose behind Stormy Swey with 130lbs at $7.50. Huge effort last time and is perfectly placed to break through.

11
Chappolicious silk

Third-up today. First-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw on September 28 over 5f, neck behind Jagerschnitzel with 121lbs at $5.50. Second-up 2nd in a small field at Scone Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 24 over 5f, 3 len behind Shenandoah River with 121lbs at $3. Going well this prep and has further scope for improvement.

2nd Pick
11

Chappolicious

Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes

Trainer: Mack Griffith

J: Jake Pracey-Holmes

T: Mack Griffith

155---43%11/8

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw on September 28 over 5f, neck behind Jagerschnitzel with 121lbs at $5.50. Second-up 2nd in a small field at Scone Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 24 over 5f, 3 len behind Shenandoah River with 121lbs at $3. Going well this prep and has further scope for improvement.

8
Just Joan silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 10 at Coonabarabran Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 4 ½f, 1.75 len behind Supreme Style carrying 126lbs at $11. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Muswellbrook 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 5f, long-neck behind Wanavan with 128lbs at $3.30. Should be in the finish again.

3rd Pick
8

Just Joan

Jockey: Siena Grima

Trainer: Toby Pracey

J: Siena Grima

T: Toby Pracey

95---13%7/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 10 at Coonabarabran Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 4 ½f, 1.75 len behind Supreme Style carrying 126lbs at $11. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Muswellbrook 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 5f, long-neck behind Wanavan with 128lbs at $3.30. Should be in the finish again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.