AU - Warwick Farm - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

41.8K

VIEW

Verdict

MAMUSHKA (6) bounced back with a much better effort third-up here and should be hitting his straps now. Drawn to advantage and should take some beating. DUSTY BAY (9) has good tactical speed and is sure to take full advantage from his low draw. Wasn't beaten far in sixth when resuming here last month and has since trialled sharply. Will take some catching from the front. DASHING RUPERT (7) was okay fresh at Rosehill but progressed nicely last time in tough going on the Kenso. Is open to further improvement and rates one of the main chances. INTERJECTION (2) lacks early speed and will be hoping Dusty Bay overdoes it in front so he can launch late. Even more so for IT'S A WONDER (10) who has somewhat proved a frustrating mare to date as she's forever running on.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at this track F&M Bm72 on June 24 over 6 ½f, 0.8 len behind Mrs Maree with 132lbs at $12. The race before that ran second last of 11 at this track 4yo+ Bm72 on June 3 over 6 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Aye Aye Captain carrying 130lbs at $10. Peaking now and is the one to beat. 1st Pick 6 Mamushka Jockey: Chad Schofield Trainer: Tom Charlton J: Chad Schofield T: Tom Charlton	139	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at this track F&M Bm72 on June 24 over 6 ½f, 0.8 len behind Mrs Maree with 132lbs at $12. The race before that ran second last of 11 at this track 4yo+ Bm72 on June 3 over 6 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Aye Aye Captain carrying 130lbs at $10. Peaking now and is the one to beat.
9	Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after two months raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at this track Cg&E Bm72 on June 24 over 6 ½f, 1.2 len behind High Blue Sea with 129lbs at $15. Previously second-up ran second last of 9 at Randwick in the G1 Rand Gneas on March 7 over 1m, 17 len behind Sheza Alibi carrying 125lbs at $201. Fitter and will prove tough to run down from the front. 2nd Pick 9 Dusty Bay Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Tracey Bartley J: Siena Grima T: Tracey Bartley	143	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after two months raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at this track Cg&E Bm72 on June 24 over 6 ½f, 1.2 len behind High Blue Sea with 129lbs at $15. Previously second-up ran second last of 9 at Randwick in the G1 Rand Gneas on March 7 over 1m, 17 len behind Sheza Alibi carrying 125lbs at $201. Fitter and will prove tough to run down from the front.
7	Third-up today. First-up 6th of 8 at Rosehill 3&4yo Bm72 on June 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Surf's Up carrying 127lbs at $14. Second-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Randwick Kensington 4yo+ Bm72 on July 1 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Miss Busslinger with 129lbs at $21. Hitting his straps now and can go one better. 3rd Pick 7 Dashing Rupert Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Dylan Gibbons T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	102	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 6th of 8 at Rosehill 3&4yo Bm72 on June 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Surf's Up carrying 127lbs at $14. Second-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Randwick Kensington 4yo+ Bm72 on July 1 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Miss Busslinger with 129lbs at $21. Hitting his straps now and can go one better.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.