AU - Warwick Farm - Race 7

Thoroughbred

23 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

42.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Mass scratchings have made this a little easier. SANCTIFIED (10) made significant progress last start when second-up from a spell, going under narrowly in a comparable race to this after travelling just off the pace. Best form comes at this stage of the prep so he can take that next step today at double-figure odds. DEEP PLEASURE (5) shouldered 61.5kgs to fill a placing here at this trip first-up then weakened late over 7f at Randwick in better company more recently. Very fit now and back in the right race. PIMLICO (3) is two for two this prep, comfortably getting home last time over 6 ¼f at the Kensington track. Tougher assignment today but impossible to fault. SUPERMASSIVE (4) was a beaten favourite here last time but can improve with blinkers on for the first time. Stablemate CONDONE (13) returned from a seven-month spell with a tough all-the-way win here at this trip a fortnight ago. Promising three-year-old who can take this next step.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at this track Cg&E Bm72 on April 15 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Ready To Shine carrying 127lbs at $6. Second run from a spell made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track Cg&E Bm72 on May 6 over 6 ½f, neck behind Iceman with 128lbs at $7.50. Capable of a better showing. Progressing nicely this prep and will take plenty of beating. 1st Pick 10 Sanctified Jockey: Josh Parr Trainer: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou J: Josh Parr T: Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou	166	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at this track Cg&E Bm72 on April 15 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Ready To Shine carrying 127lbs at $6. Second run from a spell made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track Cg&E Bm72 on May 6 over 6 ½f, neck behind Iceman with 128lbs at $7.50. Capable of a better showing. Progressing nicely this prep and will take plenty of beating.
11	Second run back. First-up after about 18 months 3rd of 8 at Randwick Kensington F&M Bm72 on April 27 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind La Basilique with 127lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at this track Grad Bm68 on October 23 2024 over 7f, 3.5 len behind The Three Hundred with 127lbs at $3.50. Excellent chance with that run under the belt. 2nd Pick 11 Aye Aye Captain Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Les Bridge J: Non Runner T: Les Bridge	117	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after about 18 months 3rd of 8 at Randwick Kensington F&M Bm72 on April 27 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind La Basilique with 127lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at this track Grad Bm68 on October 23 2024 over 7f, 3.5 len behind The Three Hundred with 127lbs at $3.50. Excellent chance with that run under the belt.
5	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at this track F&M Bm72 on April 1 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Metallic Cat carrying 136lbs at $3.70. Last start faded in the straight 7th of 10 at Randwick 3&4yo Bm72 on April 25 over 7f, 3 len behind Enamorada with 129lbs at $6.50. Capable of a better showing. Handy top three strike-rate and looks hard to beat back in midweek company. 3rd Pick 5 Deep Pleasure Jockey: Braith Nock Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Braith Nock T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	154	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at this track F&M Bm72 on April 1 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Metallic Cat carrying 136lbs at $3.70. Last start faded in the straight 7th of 10 at Randwick 3&4yo Bm72 on April 25 over 7f, 3 len behind Enamorada with 129lbs at $6.50. Capable of a better showing. Handy top three strike-rate and looks hard to beat back in midweek company.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.