AU - Warwick Farm - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

10.6f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

41.8K

VIEW

Verdict

ZONKSTAR (3) jumped quickly from 7 ¼f to 1 ¼m and was lining up for only the third time when the easy winner of a Canberra BM65 last start. Enjoys a little weight relief and is open to plenty of further improvement so this is not out of reach. HALLOWED HALLS (2) was ridden closer to the speed but didn't quite have the turn of foot required over 1 ?m at Rosehill most recently. Rock-hard fit after three runs back from a spell and the extra ground is just what he needs now. Lightly raced mare BLENHEIM GIRL (8) wound up powerfully to be beaten just half a length over 1 ?m at Rosehill last start. Carries only 52.5kgs after the claim and looks well placed out to this trip. LUGARNO (4) returned to form at Rosehill seven days ago. Getting back on a good track will enhance his prospects. WAR RIBBON (7) cannot be left out of calculations despite coming back from a 12-week lay-off.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Last start favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len in a Bm65 at Canberra on October 9 over 1 ¼m defeating Midnight Affair with 131lbs at $1.75. The run before that 6th of 11 in a Cl1 at Illawarra Grange on September 17 over 7 ¼f, 6 len behind Beautiful You carrying 130lbs at $14. Looks a nice stayer in the making - big chance despite the rise in class. 1st Pick 3 Zonkstar Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Tommy Berry T: Matthew Smith	152	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Last start favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len in a Bm65 at Canberra on October 9 over 1 ¼m defeating Midnight Affair with 131lbs at $1.75. The run before that 6th of 11 in a Cl1 at Illawarra Grange on September 17 over 7 ¼f, 6 len behind Beautiful You carrying 130lbs at $14. Looks a nice stayer in the making - big chance despite the rise in class.
12	Racing well recently. Last start 3rd of 9 in a 5yo+ Bm72 at Randwick Kensington on October 7 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Off The Scale with 137lbs at $3.70. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a head in a Cg&E Bm72 at this track on September 23 over 1m in soft going defeating Without Peer with 132lbs at $3.80. Has a big weight to shoulder but he should be in the finish. 2nd Pick 12 Botanical Boy Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Non Runner T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	198	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 3rd of 9 in a 5yo+ Bm72 at Randwick Kensington on October 7 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Off The Scale with 137lbs at $3.70. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a head in a Cg&E Bm72 at this track on September 23 over 1m in soft going defeating Without Peer with 132lbs at $3.80. Has a big weight to shoulder but he should be in the finish.
2	Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 in a Bm72 at Rosehill on September 30 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Think Itz You with 129lbs at $4.60. The race before that eased back early on 7th of 10 in a Cg&E Bm72 at this track on September 23 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Botanical Boy with 129lbs at $11. Sure to relish the longer trip this afternoon. 3rd Pick 2 Hallowed Halls Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Chris Waller J: James Mcdonald T: Chris Waller	124	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 in a Bm72 at Rosehill on September 30 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Think Itz You with 129lbs at $4.60. The race before that eased back early on 7th of 10 in a Cg&E Bm72 at this track on September 23 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Botanical Boy with 129lbs at $11. Sure to relish the longer trip this afternoon.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).