AU - Warwick Farm - Race 1

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

69.6K

VIEW

Verdict

ALL OVER HARRY (3) returned from a 19-week spell last start over this distance at Newcastle and did a good job to hold on for second after racing up on the pace. Expect that form to measure up here. Can travel on the speed again and will be tough to catch. EXPLOSIVE EXPRESS (9) has not appeared since making up good late ground to grab third on debut over 5 ½f at this track on 3 June. Half-sister to triple Derby winner Explosive Jack so kicking off over 6 ½f this prep should be far more suitable. BELLE CHANTEUSE (8) was given time to settle then worked home evenly for fourth on debut over 6f at the Illawarra Grange recently. Nicely bred filly with plenty of improvement in store. SOCIAL GRACES (1) is an unraced half-sister to Hong Kong champ Golden Sixty. Trained by Gai and Adrian and is showing ability at the trials.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Second-up. First start ran second last of 8 in a 2yo Hcp at Randwick on May 23 over 6f, slow going 11 len behind Friendly Fire with 126lbs at $8.50. Went for a break before racing on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 in a Super Mdn-Sw at Newcastle on October 3 over 6 ½f, 0.5 len behind Whoopi Do carrying 125lbs at $6. Unlikely to find this much harder so with some natural improvement to come he looks a big chance. 1st Pick 3 All Over Harry Jockey: Jason Collett Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Jason Collett T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	248	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Second-up. First start ran second last of 8 in a 2yo Hcp at Randwick on May 23 over 6f, slow going 11 len behind Friendly Fire with 126lbs at $8.50. Went for a break before racing on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 in a Super Mdn-Sw at Newcastle on October 3 over 6 ½f, 0.5 len behind Whoopi Do carrying 125lbs at $6. Unlikely to find this much harder so with some natural improvement to come he looks a big chance.
9	Resuming after a break, only one run when 3rd of 10 in a 2yo F Mdn at this track on June 3 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Helldeeva carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Likely improver this time in work which puts her right in the picture. 2nd Pick 9 Explosive Express Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Chris Waller J: Tommy Berry T: Chris Waller	100	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Resuming after a break, only one run when 3rd of 10 in a 2yo F Mdn at this track on June 3 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Helldeeva carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Likely improver this time in work which puts her right in the picture.
8	At debut, got back early 4th of 7 in a F&M Mdn at Illawarra Grange on October 1 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Hello Liz carrying 125lbs at $5.50. Expect her to run well over the extra ½f. 3rd Pick 8 Belle Chanteuse Jockey: Rachel King Trainer: Brad Widdup J: Rachel King T: Brad Widdup	85	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At debut, got back early 4th of 7 in a F&M Mdn at Illawarra Grange on October 1 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Hello Liz carrying 125lbs at $5.50. Expect her to run well over the extra ½f.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.