AU - Warwick - Race 2

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

14.4K

VIEW

Verdict

The well-related RUNAROUND SUE (1) (half to G3 winner Thiamandi) has been in the money at both starts this time in work, the latest a second over 4f at Ipswich. Has a solid record at the third run in so she looks the testing material against this line-up. I AM GONE (10) won narrowly by 0.6 lengths two runs back at Gatton then missed the frame last time at Ipswich. Gets a little weight relief. Has been in sound form this prep with two wins from five starts and is sure to run well. SUTHERLAND (3) didn't do a bad job when sixth last start over 4f at Ipswich, beaten only 2 lengths. That followed a win at this circuit the start prior. Yet to miss the frame in four starts over this course and distance and has the class to return to the winner's list. TARA'S REWARD (6) ran a better race when second-up last start, finishing 1.1 lengths away in fourth over 4f at Ipswich. Finds a nice race and can make amends.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Half-sister to Group 3 winner Thiamandi. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 2nd in a small field in a Bm65 at Toowoomba on August 15 over 4f, neck behind Prucia with 127lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell 2nd of 10 in a Bm65 at Ipswich on August 27 over 4f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Medals carrying 127lbs at $4.20. Back in grade and with even luck will take a ton of beating. 1st Pick 1 Runaround Sue Jockey: Jess Emmerson Trainer: Pat Webster J: Jess Emmerson T: Pat Webster	168	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Half-sister to Group 3 winner Thiamandi. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 2nd in a small field in a Bm65 at Toowoomba on August 15 over 4f, neck behind Prucia with 127lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell 2nd of 10 in a Bm65 at Ipswich on August 27 over 4f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Medals carrying 127lbs at $4.20. Back in grade and with even luck will take a ton of beating.
10	Last start 4th of 11 in a Bm58 at Ipswich on August 14 over 4f, 0.9 len behind Coincide carrying 129lbs at $11. The run before that won by 0.6 len in a Bm60 at Gatton on July 30 over 4 ¼f defeating Mr Playtime carrying 118lbs at $2.90. Shapes as one of the key chances. 2nd Pick 10 I Am Gone Jockey: William Galloway Trainer: John Wallace J: William Galloway T: John Wallace	115	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Last start 4th of 11 in a Bm58 at Ipswich on August 14 over 4f, 0.9 len behind Coincide carrying 129lbs at $11. The run before that won by 0.6 len in a Bm60 at Gatton on July 30 over 4 ¼f defeating Mr Playtime carrying 118lbs at $2.90. Shapes as one of the key chances.
3	Last start 6th of 11 in a Bm58 at Ipswich on August 14 over 4f, 2 len behind Coincide carrying 137lbs at $31. The race before that won by 0.5 len in a Bm58 at this track on August 4 over 4f on a rain affected track defeating Don't Touch with 133lbs at $4.40. Has ability and is expected to run well again. 3rd Pick 3 Sutherland Jockey: Kenji Yoshida Trainer: Amanda Park J: Kenji Yoshida T: Amanda Park	111	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Last start 6th of 11 in a Bm58 at Ipswich on August 14 over 4f, 2 len behind Coincide carrying 137lbs at $31. The race before that won by 0.5 len in a Bm58 at this track on August 4 over 4f on a rain affected track defeating Don't Touch with 133lbs at $4.40. Has ability and is expected to run well again.

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