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6:15 AM

AU - Warren - Race 7

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
20.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STREET SWAGGER (7) is the main danger after a close fourth at Dubbo and a checked second at Bathurst, with his wet-track record adding appeal. Claim helps from the right draw. DODGE THE DARK (10) was excellent first-up when beaten half a length at Narromine and brings a proven track-and-distance profile, though he rises from BM50 grade. MARIOTA (6) has been around the mark in stronger recent races, including a nose second in BM66 company at Coonamble, and the return to 7f keeps him firmly in the winning mix. MOON ZONE (3) BM66 third two back reads well and last start had excuses. Has a wide gate but will relish the class drop.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
14
Jade Division silk

Had genuine excuses when second last in a BM50 at Mudgee last start, held up and tightened for room at key stages, so the beaten nine and a half lengths can be forgiven. He won at Forbes the start prior, beating Commando Jack, and now gets weight relief. Loves this track and gets weight relief.

1st Pick
14

Jade Division

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Brett Thompson

J: Non Runner

T: Brett Thompson

95---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Had genuine excuses when second last in a BM50 at Mudgee last start, held up and tightened for room at key stages, so the beaten nine and a half lengths can be forgiven. He won at Forbes the start prior, beating Commando Jack, and now gets weight relief. Loves this track and gets weight relief.

7
Street Swagger silk

Backs up quickly after a good Dubbo fourth, beaten just under two lengths after being bumped at the start. His Bathurst second prior had real merit, as he was checked near the 2f and still finished strongly to miss by a head. Quick back-up suits and wet-track record is a plus.

2nd Pick
7

Street Swagger

Jockey: Nick Palmer

Trainer: Janelle Galea

J: Nick Palmer

T: Janelle Galea

124---11%17/2

Analysis

Backs up quickly after a good Dubbo fourth, beaten just under two lengths after being bumped at the start. His Bathurst second prior had real merit, as he was checked near the 2f and still finished strongly to miss by a head. Quick back-up suits and wet-track record is a plus.

10
Dodge The Dark silk

Resumed with a strong second in a BM50 at Narromine, beaten half a length by Deodee after being bumped, racing keenly and being steadied. He rises in grade, but drops in weight, has won at this track and distance, and Wendy Peel has a good record on him. Leading player after the good first up run.

3rd Pick
10

Dodge The Dark

Jockey: Wendy Peel

Trainer: Wendy Peel

J: Wendy Peel

T: Wendy Peel

137---8%12/1

Analysis

Resumed with a strong second in a BM50 at Narromine, beaten half a length by Deodee after being bumped, racing keenly and being steadied. He rises in grade, but drops in weight, has won at this track and distance, and Wendy Peel has a good record on him. Leading player after the good first up run.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.